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MBA毕业论文_庆JG集团PPP项目投资风险管理研究PDF

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I 摘要 随着经济发展水平的不断提升,社会各项事业的蓬勃发展,给我国各个行业带来 了广阔的发展空间。在开展各项基础设施建设的方面,国家政策开始倡导将PPP模 式应用到建筑施工领域,无疑为广大建筑施工企业带来了大量的发展机遇。目前,我 国政府已经出台了多项有力措施,制定了多项利好政策,目的在于进一步推动我国经 济向前发展。不过,由于PPP项目具有一定的政策导向性,从现阶段各类建筑施工 企业应用PPP模式的实践来看,大多数企业对PPP项目采用的粗犷性管理模式,并 没有深入分析PPP项目中可能会面临的投资风险,其风险管理水平还有待提高。本 文以重庆JG集团为研究对象,以风险管理理论和过程控制理论为基础,结合实际项 目管理案例,总结了重庆JG集团发展状况、行业状况和PPP项目现状,就现有PPP 项目存在的主要投资风险进行了分析。在重庆JG集团的现状分析的基础上,提出了 PPP项目投资管理优化方案,在PPP项目投资风险的识别方面,分别识别出了政策风 险、经济风险和建造风险,并对应提出了相应的投资风险管理措施。在风险管理优化 方案的设计,对准备、采购、建造和经营这四个阶段的主要风险点进行了分析,并针 对性地提出了管理方案。文章就如何以理论指导实际针对性地对该集团公司的PPP 项目投资风险的管理和运作方案进行设计,以实现优化项目管理和提升项目价值创造 的目标。 关键词:PPP项目;投资风险管理 Abstract II Abstract Withthecontinuousimprovementofthelevelofeconomicdevelopment,thevigorous developmentofvarioussocialundertakingshasbroughtabroadspacefordevelopmentin variousindustriesinChina.Intheprocessofbuildingvariousinfrastructures,Chinahas advocatedapplyingthePPPmodeltothefieldofbuildingconstruction,whichundoubtedly bringsalotofdevelopmentopportunitiesforthemajorityofconstructionenterprises. However,fromthepracticeofapplyingPPPmodetovariousconstructionenterprisesat thisstage,mostenterpriseshavenotanalyzedtherisksthatmaybefacedinPPPprojects. TheriskmanagementlevelofPPPprojectsneedstobeimproved.Thispapertakes ChongqingJGConstructionConstructionGroupastheresearchobject.Firstly,itexpounds thebackgroundandsignificanceofthisresearch,andtheresearchstatusofPPPmoderisk managementinconstructionenterprisesathomeandabroad,andexplainstheresearch methodsandbasicframework.Secondly,itdiscussestherelatedconceptsofPPPmode, investmentriskandriskwarning,anddescribesriskmanagementtheoryandprocess controltheory.Itthendescribesthestatusofthegroup,thedevelopmentofthe constructionindustryandthecurrentstatusoftheGroup'sexistingPPPprojects, identifyingandassessingthemainrisksoftheGroup'sexistingPPPprojects.Finally,the riskmanagementstrategyofthegroup'sPPPprojectwasoptimized.TherisksinthePPP projectofthegroupwereidentifiedfromtheperspectivesofpoliticalrisk,policyrisk, economicriskandprojectmanagementrisk.Theriskmanagementofthegroup'sPPP projectwasproposed.StrategyandrelatedrecommendationsfortheGroup'sPPPproject riskmanagement. Keywords: PPPproject;investmentriskmanagement 目录 III 目录 摘要 ......................................................................................................................I Abstract.............................................................................................................II 1 绪论 .................................................................................................................1 1.1 研究背景和意义 ........................................................................................................1 1.1.1研究背景....................................................................................................................................1 1.1.2研究意义....................................................................................................................................2 1.2 国内外研究现状 ........................................................................................................2 1.2.1国外研究现状...........................................................................................................................2 1.2.2国内研究现状...........................................................................................................................3 1.2.3研究评述....................................................................................................................................6 1.3 研究内容、研究方法以及技术路线 ......................................................................7 1.3.1研究内容....................................................................................................................................7 1.3.2研究方法....................................................................................................................................7 1.3.3技术路线....................................................................................................................................8 2 相关概念与理论基础 ..................................................................................11 2.1 相关概念 ..................................................................................................................11 2.1.1PPP项目的概念......................................................................................................................11 2.1.2投资风险的概念....................................................................................................................11 2.2 理论基础 ..................................................................................................................13 2.2.1风险管理理论.........................................................................................................................13 2.2.2过程控制理论.........................................................................................................................14 3 重庆 JG 集团 PPP 项目投资风险管理现状及问题 ................................17 3.1 重庆 JG 集团及行业状况 ......................................................................................17 3.1.1建筑行业发展状况................................................................................................................17 3.1.2集团发展状况.........................................................................................................................17 3.2 重庆 JG 集团 PPP 项目现状 ..............................................................................17 3.3 重庆 JG 集团 PPP 项目存在的主要投资风险分析 .........................................18 重庆理工大学硕士学位论文 IV 3.3.1前期主营活动难以合理安排...............................................................................................18 3.3.2项目合同中未明确政府优惠...............................................................................................19 3.3.3市场竞争激烈且运营能力弱................................................................................................19 3.3.4项目移交风险无法准备把控...............................................................................................21 4 重庆 JG 集团 PPP 项目投资风险管理优化方案 ....................................23 4.1 重庆 JG 集团 PPP 项目投资风险识别 ................................................................23 4.1.1政策风险..................................................................................................................................23 4.1.2经济风险..................................................................................................................................24 4.1.3建设风险..................................................................................................................................25 4.1.4市场风险..................................................................................................................................26 4.2 重庆 JG 集团 PPP 项目投资风险管理方案设计 ...............................................27 4.2.1准备阶段..................................................................................................................................27 4.2.2采购阶段..................................................................................................................................28 4.2.3建造阶段........................................