由于我国不断的提高科技发展水平以及深入研宄相关问题,国家目前几年越

来越注重对项目所存在的风险的管理问题。在电网建设这一项目中,变电站工程

的建设尤为重要,管理好这一项目所存在的风险与有序落实项目并实现电力工业

的可持续发展息息相关。如果不能及时判断、评估项目实施过程中可能遭遇的风

险并及时有效的采取措施加以防范,那么在实际落实变电站工程的建设时,只要

有一个环节出现纰漏,整个项目都将承受严重的损失,比如使项目的建设工期加

长,白白增加了一些不必要的投资,严重的甚至会引起电网事故,不仅于经济无

益更会伤及无辜人员的性命。

我国现阶段还未建立出一套完善的风险评价体系来管理变电站工程建设这一

项目存在的风险,由于没有全面客观的预测并评估分析项目落实过程中可能遇到

的风险就进行施工,便无法有效的防范风险的发生,这会造成资源浪费严重,工

期加长以及项目损失惨重等问题,这阻碍了变电站建设工作的平稳有序开展。因

此,这篇文章以研宄变电站工程项目的建设风险的管理理论为基础,判别出了一

些该项目在建设过程中可能存在的风险,并分析了为何会产生这种风险,再从这

个角度出发建立了一套具体的针对变电站工程建设项目存在风险的评价指标;通

过深入分析几种普遍的评价风险的方法,对LEC风险评价法做了进一步改进;并

实践验证了 ZC变电站工程建设项目的案例,对有效防范不同程度的风险作出了一

系列规划。

关键词:ZC变电站,建设项目工程,风险管理

I

RESEARCH ON RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM OF ZC

SUBSTATION ENGINEERING CONSTRUCTION PROJECT

ABSTRACT

As China continues to improve the level of technological development, and

extensive research related issues’ countries are increasingly focusing on risk project a

few years the existence of management problems. In this project, power grid

construction substation construction project is particularly important,risk manage this

project that exists and orderly implementation of the project and to achieve sustainable

development of power industry are closely related. If you can not judge the risk process

may encounter assess project implementation and the timely and effective measures to

guard against them,so in the actual implementation of the construction of the substation

project, as long as there is a link flaws,the entire project will suffer serious losses,such

as so that the project construction period is lengthened, in vain added some unnecessary

investment, serious and even cause power grid accident, not only useless but will hurt

the economic lives of innocent people.

China at this stage is not yet established a set of comprehensive risk assessment

system to manage risk substation construction of this project exist,because there is no

comprehensive and objective analysis to predict and assess risks that may arise during

implementation of the project would be constructed,it can not effective risk prevention,

which can cause serious waste of resources, time and project extended losses and other

issues which hinder the smooth and orderly grid construction work carried out.

Therefore, this article is to study management theory substation project construction

risk,based on the judgment that the risk of a number of projects that may exist in the

construction process,and analyze why this risk will generate, and then build from this

perspective the existence of a specific substation construction project for evaluation of

risk; in-depth analysis of several common risk assessment method,the LEC risk

evaluation made further improvement; and proven the case ZC substation construction

project, effective prevention of risk to make a series of different levels of planning.

KEY WORDS: ZC substation,construction project, risk management