上世纪 90 年代以来，区域经济一体化的成为官方和经济学界普遍关注的问 题。一体化是全球化时代的潮流，在欧洲、美洲的内部及跨洲的一些国家和地区 之间都相继建立起自由贸易区、关税同盟和共同市场等多种类型的区域经济一体 化组织。 东亚地区在当今世界经济版图上占重要地位，中日两国的经济发展状况及其 经济关系对整个东亚地区乃至世界经济发展都具有重要影响。中国经济的迅速发 展，经济规模急剧扩大，市场需求大幅增长。日本经济在经历了 10 年的低迷后 走出低谷。中日作为东亚的两个经济大国，经济基础雄厚，在贸易结构上还有很 强的互补性，中日经济对东亚区域经济、区域政治和区域安全有着巨大影响力。 因此，建立中日自由贸易区具有十分重大经济和战略意义。 中日两国良好经济基本面，贸易依存度、经济合作层次和政治推动作用都为 建立中日自由贸易区的可行性奠定了基础。报告将研究重点放在中日自由贸易区 的可行分析和障碍对策分析方面，集中在三个问题上，一是详细阐述和分析自由 贸易区的基本定义及世界范围内自由贸易区的发展趋势。二是分析建立中日自由 贸易区的经济背景，中日自由贸易区的基础及其效果预测，探讨其可行性。三是 研究建立中日自由贸易区障碍因素与对策方案。 关键词，中日关系、自由贸易区、区域经济一体化 II Abstract Since the 90s of last century, regional economic integration to become official and issues of common concern in economic circles. Integration is the trend of globalization in Asia, Europe, Africa, America and Oceania internal and cross-continental countries and regions have successively established free trade zone, customs union and common market for various types of areas economic integration organizations. East Asia and the world economic map in the important role that China and Japan's economic development and economic relations on the entire East Asian region and the world economic development has an important influence. China's rapid economic development in rapidly expanding economies of scale, market demand increased significantly. The Japanese economy experienced a downturn after 10 years out of the woods. China and Japan as two economic powers in East Asia not only geographically close neighbors, language and culture are similar, there are strong economic complementarity, on the East Asian regional economy, regional politics and regional security has tremendous influence. Therefore, the establishment of Sino-Japanese free trade zone is of great economic and strategic significance. Good economic fundamentals in China and Japan, trade dependence, economic cooperation and political role in promoting all levels to establish the feasibility of the Sino-Japanese free trade area laid the foundation. Paper, we focus on possible Sino-Japanese Free Trade Area Analysis and analysis of barriers measures, focused on three issues: First, detail and analysis of the basic definition of free trade and free trade around the world trend. The second one is the establishment of China-Japan Free Trade Area of the economic background, the foundation of Sino-Japanese Free Trade Area and the effectiveness of prediction, to explore its feasibility. Third, the establishment of China-Japan Free Trade Area of Obstacles and Countermeasures program. Key words: Sino-Japanese relations, free trade, Regional economic integration III 目 录 引 言...........................................................................................................1 一、选题的目的和意义 ............................................1 二、国内外研究动态 ..............................................1 三、报告研究方案 ................................................3 第一章 自由贸易区的发展状况及特点..................................................5 一、全球自由贸易区的发展状况 ....................................5 （一）自由贸易区的定义..............................................................................5 （二）自由贸易区的发展趋势和原因..........................................................6 （三）全球 FTA 的发展状况........................................................................7 二、自由贸易区发展特点 ..........................................7 （一）数量迅速增加，质量明显提高..........................................................7 （二）地域更加广阔，功能趋向综合..........................................................8 （三）管理不断加强，战略价值凸显..........................................................8 第二章 中日自由贸易区可行性分析......................................................9 一、建立自由贸易区的理论简介 ....................................9 二、中日两国关于建立自由贸易区的立场和态度 .....................11 （一）日本对建立中日 FTA 的态度-----期待与担忧并存......................11 （二）中国对建立中日 FTA 的态度----积极务实....................................12 三、建立中日自由贸易区的经贸基础 ...............................13 （一）中国经济发展背景............................................................................13 （二）日本经济发展背景............................................................................15 （三）中日经济在世界经济中的地位........................................................19 四、中日经济的依赖性分析 .......................................20 （一）中日经济关系....................................................................................20 （二）中日贸易依存度................................................................................21 （三）中日之间 FDI 及经济合作概况........................................................23 五、建立自由贸易区的经济效果预测 ...............................25 IV 第三章 建立中日自贸易区的策略研究................................................28 一、建立中日自由贸易区的主要障碍 ...............................28 （一）中日政治关系不稳定........................................................................28 （二）日本不完全承认中国的市场经济国家地位，摩擦较多................28 （三）谈判范围不统一................................................................................29 （四）美国因素............................................................................................30 二、建立中日自由贸易区的对策 ...................................30 （一）稳固经济基础，逐步改善中日政治关系........................................30 （二）继续完善中国的市场经济体制........................................................31 （三）明确谈判范围，树立谈判目标........................................................31 （四）进一步巩固中美关系........................................................................32 结 语.......................................................................................................33