青岛是区域性经济中心城市，经济总量位居全国城市前列，目前规划或实际 拥有一定研发功能的产业园和大企业研发中心，但布局分散，缺少集中的供研发 机构成长、研发成果转化和交流的空间。青岛 GML 厂位于青岛 JS 区核心区内， 区位优势明显，为充分利用 GML 厂的工业遗产，推进大众创业、万众创新，发 展创业服务，建设创业创新平台，支持先进制造业发展、增强核心竞争力，同时 加快“互联网+”等新兴产业的发展，为区域经济发展注入活力与动力，青岛 HC 公司提出对 GML 厂进行改造，建设青岛 YKD 产业园。 本文从现代项目管理中的可行性研究基本理论着手，对 JS 区核心区青岛 YKD 产业园项目的建设方案、环境影响、经济效益、生态环境效益及社会效益、 风险评估与应对等方面进行细致的论证和评价。在 SWOT 分析中，本项目优势＞ 劣势、机遇＞挑战；在财务计划现金流、投资现金流、资本金现金流、偿债备付 率、利息备付率等经济指标的评估中，本项目数据也均可实现盈利；此外，本项 目污染量不大且对周边生态环境影响较小，在排除各类风险因素制约后，项目还 可为区域发展作出贡献，促进 JS 核心区的和谐氛围，最终得出青岛 YKD 产业园 项目可行的结论。 通过对 YKD 产业园的可行性研究，能够最大程度降低项目建设失败风险， 降低项目建设成本，加快项目进度，保证项目顺利实施，同时可为李沧区乃至青 岛市内其他产业园建设项目提供丰富的经验借鉴。 关键词：产业园项目 可行性研究 经济效益 风险分析THE FEASIBILITY STUDY OF QINGDAO YKD INDUSTRIALPARK PROJECT ABSTRACT Qingdao is a regional economic center city, the total economic output ranks the forefront of the city, the current planning or actually have a certain R & D functions of the industrial park and large enterprise R & D center, but the layout scattered, the lack of concentration for R & D institutions, Exchange space. Qingdao GML plant is located in the core area of Qingdao JS area, the location advantage is obvious, in order to make full use of GML factory industrial heritage, promote public entrepreneurship, innovation, development of entrepreneurial services, building innovation platform to support advanced manufacturing development and enhance core competitiveness , While accelerating the Internet + and other emerging industries for the development of regional economic development into the vitality and motivation, Qingdao HC company proposed transformation of the GML plant, the construction of Qingdao YKD Industrial Park. This paper starts from the basic theory of feasibility study in modern project management, and analyzes the construction plan, environmental impact, economic benefit, ecological and environmental benefits, social benefits, risk assessment and response of Qingdao YKD Industrial Park in the core area of JS area. In the SWOT analysis, the project advantages>disadvantages, opportunities>challenges; in the financial plan cash flow, investment cash flow, capital cash flow, debt reserve ratio,interest rate and other economic indicators of the assessments, the project data’s also can be profitable; In addition, the project is not a small amount of pollution and the surrounding ecological environment is less affected in the exclusion of various risk factors, the project can also contribute to regional development, promote JS core area of harmonious atmosphere, the final Draw the feasibility of Qingdao YKD Industrial Park project. Through the feasibility study of YKD Industrial Park, it can minimize the risk of project construction failure, reduce the project construction cost, speed up the project progress, ensure the smooth implementation of the project, and provide rich for the construction of other industrial parks in Licang and Qingdao Experience. KEYWORDS：industrial park project feasibility study economic benefits risk analysis目录 1 绪论...........................................................................................................1 1.1 问题的提出...................................................................................................... 1 1.2 选题的意义...................................................................................................... 2 1.3 国内外研究现状.............................................................................................. 2 1.3.1 国外可行性研究现状综述................................................................... 3 1.3.2 国内可行性研究现状综述................................................................... 4 1.4 研究方法、内容及结构安排.......................................................................... 5 1.4.1 研究方法............................................................................................... 5 1.4.2 研究内容及结构安排........................................................................... 6 2 相关理论研究概述.................................................................................. 8 2.1 项目可行性研究含义...................................................................................... 8 2.2 项目可行性研究主要内容.............................................................................. 8 2.3 项目可行性研究评价方法.............................................................................. 9 2.4 项目可行性研究的重要性............................................................................ 10 3 青岛 YKD 产业园项目概述.................................................................11 3.1 项目建设背景................................................................................................ 11 3.2 项目现状及规划方案.................................................................................... 12 3.2.1 项目现状............................................................................................. 12 3.2.2 项目规划方案分析............................................................................. 17 3.3 项目建设方案................................................................................................ 19 3.3.1 功能定位............................................................................................. 19 3.3.2 建设内容及规模................................................................................. 19 3.3.3 设计原则、总平面布局及交通组织................................................. 19 3.3.4 建筑工程及公用工程......................................................................... 20 3.4 项目节能方案................................................................................................ 22 3.4.1 能源选用原则..................................................................................... 22 3.4.2 合理用能标准和节能设计规范......................................................... 22 3.4.3 节能措施............................................................................................. 23 3.5 项目建设组织结构及管理............................................................................ 243.5.1 建设组织机构..................................................................................... 24 3.5.2 建设管理............................................................................................. 26 3.6 项目实施进度................................................................................................ 26 4 青岛 YKD 产业园项目环境分析.........................................................27 4.1 外部环境分析................................................................................................ 27 4.1.1 宏观环境分析..................................................................................... 27 4.1.2 行业环境分析..................................................................................... 29 4.2 项目 SWOT 分析.............................................................................................. 30 4.2.1 优势..................................................................................................... 30 4.2.2 劣势..................................................................................................... 31 4.2.3 机遇..................................................................................................... 31 4.2.4 威胁..................................................................................................... 32 4.2.5 SWOT 分析矩阵.................................................................................32 5 青岛 YKD 产业园项目经济效益分析.................................................34 5.1 项目投资估算................................................................................................ 34 5.2 项目资金筹措................................................................................................ 36 5.3 项目财务评价分析........................................................................................ 37 5.3.1 收入分析............................................................................................. 37 5.3.2 成本分析............................................................................................. 38 5.3.3 盈利能力分析..................................................................................... 38 5.3.4 偿债能力分析..................................................................................... 38 5.3.5 现金流量分析..................................................................................... 39 6 青岛 YKD 产业园项目生态环境效益及社会效益分析.................... 40 6.1 环境与生态效益分析.................................................................................... 40 6.2 社会效益分析................................................................................................ 43 7 青岛 YKD 产业园项目风险分析.........................................................47 7.1 项目风险概述................................................................................................. 47 7.2 项目风险及应对策略..................................................................................... 47 结论.............................................................................................................51