文本描述
学校代码10125专业代码020201
硕士学位论文
题目数字经济对农村居民消费结构升级的影响研究
姓名于慧
专业国民经济学
研究方向国民经济结构理论与政策
所属学院财政与公共经济学院
指导教师李春生副教授
二〇二四年六月
University Code 10125Major Code 020201
Shanxi University of Finance &Economics
Thesis for Master’s Degree
Title Research on the impact of digital
economy on the upgrading of rural
residents'consumption structur
Name Yu Hui
Major National Economics
Research Orientation Theory and Policy of National
Economic Structure
School School of Public Finance &Economics
Tutor Li Chunsheng Associate Professor
June,2024
山西财经大学硕士学位论文
摘要
在新发展阶段,消费已经成为我国经济增长的重要动力,农村消费是消费的
重要组成部分,促进农村居民的消费是扩大内需、促使消费由低层次向高层次转
变的重要力量。随着居民收入的增加、受教育水平的提高和消费观念的更新,农
村居民的消费需求有着较大的提升空间。与此同时,数字经济作为一种新的经济
形态,已经成为我国扩大内需、实现经济高质量发展的“新引擎”,它正与各行
业、各领域深度融合,深刻地改变着人们的生产、生活和消费方式。面对居民消
费层次不高的现象,数字经济迅速下沉至农村地区,不断突破传统消费增长的瓶
颈,拓宽消费领域和消费渠道,充分发挥消费潜能,为农村居民的消费提供了新
的消费模式和选择,为农村居民消费注入全新动力。因此,研究数字经济对农村
居民消费结构升级的影响,对提升农村居民收入,释放居民消费潜力,推动我国
经济持续、健康发展具有重要意义。
本文主要探讨的是数字经济对农村居民消费结构升级的影响。首先,在梳理
相关文献的基础上,简要介绍和分析数字经济与居民消费结构升级的基本概念及
相关理论,为本文的研究提供了理论依据;其次,从直接效应和间接效应两个角
度,厘清数字经济影响农村居民消费结构升级的作用机制,并提出研究假说;再
次,运用2013-2022年全国各省市的相关数据,从数字经济基础、数字产业化、产
业数字化和数字经济发展动力这四个角度,建立数字经济水平的综合评价体系,
并利用熵值法对数字经济综合指数进行测算,并对数字经济和农村居民消费结构
的现状进行分析;进而,采用中国30个省市2013-2022年的面板数据,构建固定
效应模型、中介效应模型,对数字经济对农村居民消费结构升级的影响效果及其
作用机理进行实证研究,并开展了异质性、稳健性、内生性等一系列检验。
通过研究发现:(1)基准回归结果表明,数字经济对我国农村居民消费结构
的改善具有明显的积极作用,即数字经济有利于促进农村居民消费结构升级;(2)
从影响机制来看,数字经济可以通过提高居民收入水平和促进产业结构升级两条
路径带动农村居民消费结构升级;(3)就区域异质性而言,数字经济促进了我国
东部地区农村居民的消费结构优化与升级;但是,在我国中西部地区,数字经济
并没有明显地推动农村居民消费结构的优化升级,呈现出较为显著的地域异质性;
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数字经济对农村居民消费结构升级的影响研究
(4)稳健性检验和内生性检验的结果表明,数字经济正向促进农村居民消费结构
升级的实证结论较为稳健和可靠。
根据研究结果,提出以下政策建议:(1)加快数字经济发展,刺激农村居民
消费活力;(2)积极推进产业数字化,助力农民增收创收;(3)加强企业数字
化转型,促进产业结构升级;(4)鼓励地区优势互补,推动农村消费整体升级。
本文可能的创新点在于:(1)在研究视角上,已有研究大多将研究视角聚焦
在数字经济对居民整体或城镇居民消费结构的影响上,本文则聚焦我国农村地区,
就数字经济对农村居民消费结构优化升级的影响进行系统研究。(2)在作用机制
上,本文将数字经济对农村居民消费结构升级的影响分为直接和间接两个方面,
在间接影响方面,从供需两个角度进一步完善数字经济影响农村居民消费结构升
级的作用机理。(3)在研究方法上,利用2013-2022年的省级面板数据,在基准
回归的基础上,进行了异质性、稳健性、内生性和中介效应等一系列实证分析,
系统地探讨了数字经济对农村居民消费结构升级的影响。
关键词:数字经济,农村居民,消费结构升级,中介效应
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山西财经大学硕士学位论文
ABSTRACT
In the new stage of development,Consumption has played an important role in
promoting China's economic development.Rural consumption is an important
component of consumption,and promoting rural residents'consumption is an important
force in expanding domestic demand and promoting the transformation of consumption
from low to high levels.With the increase of residents'income,the improvement of
their education level,and the updating of their consumption concepts,there is a
significant room for improvement in the consumption demand of rural residents.At the
same time,the digital economy,as a new form of economy,has become a "new engine"
for China to expand domestic demand and stimulating economic growth.It is deeply
integrating with various industries and fields,profoundly changing people's production,
life,and consumption patterns.Faced with the phenomenon of low consumption levels
among residents,the digital economy is rapidly sinking into rural areas,constantly
breaking through the bottleneck of traditional consumption growth,expanding
consumption fields and channels,fully tapping into consumption potential,providing
new consumption models and choices for rural residents,and injecting new impetus into
their consumption.Therefore,studying the impact of the digital economy on updating
the consumption structure of rural residents is of great significance to enhance rural
residents'income,release their consumption potential and promote sustainable and
healthy economic development.
This paper focuses on how to promote the consumption structure of rural residents
in digital economy.Firstly,based on the review of relevant literature,the basic concepts
and theories of digital economy and consumption structure upgrading will be briefly
discussed and analyzed,laying a theoretical foundation for the research;Secondly,the
mechanism of the influence of digital economy on Improving rural residents'
consumption structure was explored from both direct and indirect perspectives,and a
research hypothesis was proposed;Once again,based on the data of 2013~2022,this
paper constructs an integrated evaluation system of digital economy,which includes the
base of digital economy,digital industry and digital economy.The comprehensive index
of the digital economy is calculated using the entropy method,and analysis of the status
of digital economy and rural consumer structure;Furthermore,using provincial panel
data from 2013to 2022,regression analysis was carried out on the impact and
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