Study on the influence of citizenization of
agricultural migrant population on household
consumption
——Based on the data of CGSS
A Thesis Submitted to
Northwest Normal University
in partial fulfillment of the requirement
for the degree of
Master of Arts
in
Economics
by
Liu Xiang
Supervisor :Professor Nie Zhengyan
May,2024
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内需是中国经济发展的基本动力，扩大内需是满足人民对美好生活向往的现
实需要。消费作为内需的重要组成部分，对拉动中国经济发展和解决社会主要矛
盾具有重要作用。在中国特殊的城乡二元结构体制下，农业转移人口作为一个数
量庞大的特殊群体,蕴藏着巨大的消费潜力。推动农业转移人口市民化，进而释
放其消费潜力，有利于促进社会公平，改善人民生活，推动经济发展。本文从户
籍变更的视角出发，探讨农业转移人口市民化对家庭消费的影响，并基于我国当
前经济形势以及现实状况得出相应的政策启示，这对于我国推动户籍制度改革，
促进消费增长，持续扩大内需，进而推动经济高质量增长具有较强的现实参考意
义。
基于以上思路，本文首先对我国农业转移人口市民化情况以及当前的消费现
状进行了详细分析。具体而言，我国当前农业转移人口市民化的进展不及预期，
消费增长也较为乏力。当前面临的问题为本文进一步探究两者间关系提供了现实
背景。
结合现实背景，本文对市民化影响家庭消费的理论机理进行分析。农业转移
人口在逐渐融入城市，实现市民化的过程中，其生活及消费环境、消费习惯及方
式都会发生变化，根据相对收入假说，这些变化都会影响其消费水平。另外，户
籍变更后会提高其社会保障水平，根据西方经济学的相关消费理论，社会保障越
是完善，居民越是敢于消费。
在实证部分，本文使用中国综合社会调查(Chinese General Social Survey，
CGSS)的数据，将样本数据按户籍分为未市民化农业转移人口家庭和已市民化农
业转移人口家庭对比分析其消费情况，然后对比分析不同组别的互联网使用频率
和社会保障程度的不同对家庭消费的影响，最后对比分析了不同区域市民化程度
对消费的影响效果。结果表明：（1）农业转移人口完成市民化的分组消费水平明
显提高；（2）完成市民化后，农业转移人口家庭互联网使用频率升高且社会保障
程度也有提高，进而促进了其消费。（3）从区域上看，东中西部市民化对消费的
影响效果是递减的，东部地区农业转移人口市民化可以显著促进其消费。据此本
文认为推动户籍制度改革，进一步健全社会保障体系是提升农业转移人口消费水
平的重要举措。
关键词：农业转移人口市民化；家庭消费；社会保障；倾向得分匹配
I
Abstract
Domestic demand is the basic driving force for China's economic development,
and expanding domestic demand is what the people need to meet their aspirations for a
better life.As an important part of domestic demand,consumption plays an important
role in stimulating China's economic development and resolving the main social
contradictions.Under the special urban-rural dual structure system in China,the rural
migrant population,as mangy special groups,has a huge consumption potential.
Promoting the citizenization of rural migrants and releasing their consumption potential
is conducive to promoting social equity,improving people's live and promoting
economic development.From the perspective of household registration change,this
paper discusses the impact of citizenization of agricultural migrant population on
household consume,and draws corresponding policy enlightenment based on China's
current economic situation and reality,which has a strong practical reference
significance for China to promote the reform of household registration system,promote
consumption growth,continue to expand domestic demand,and then promote high-
quality economic growth.
Based on the above ideas,this paper first makes a detailed analysis of the
citizenization of China's agricultural migrant population and the current consumption
situation.Specifically speaking,the progress of citizenization of the current agricultural
migrant population in China is less than expected,and the consumption growth is
relatively weak.The current problems provide a realistic background for this paper to
further explore the relationship between them.
Combined with the practical background,this paper analyzes the theoretical
mechanism of citizenization affecting household consumption.In the process of
gradually integrating into cities and realizing citizenization,the rural migrant
population's living and consumption environment,consumption habits and modes will
change.According to the relative income hypothesis,these changes will affect their
consumption level.In addition,after the change of household registration,the level of
social security will be improved.According to the relevant consumption theory of
western economics,the more perfect the social security is,the more residents will dare
to consume.
In the empirical part,this paper uses the data of Chinese General Social Survey
II
Abstract
(CGSS)and divides the sample data into households of non-citizenized migrant
agricultural population and households of citizenized migrant agricultural population
according to household registration to compare and analyze their consumption.Then,
the influence of different groups of Internet use frequency and social security degree
on household consumption is compared and analyzed.Finally,the influence of different
regional citizenization degree on consumption is compared and analyzed.The results
show that:(1)the group consumption level of the migrant agricultural population after
citizenization is obviously improved;(2)After citizenization,the frequency of
household Internet use and the degree of social security of the rural migrant population
increased,thus promoting their consumption.(3)From the regional perspective,
citizenization in the eastern,central and western regions has a diminishing effect on
consumption,and citizenization of agricultural migrant population in the eastern region
can significantly promote their consumption.Therefore,this paper holds that promoting
the reform of household registration system and further improving the social security
system are important measures to improve the consumption level of the rural migrant
population.
Keywords:Citizenization of the rural migrant population;Household consumption;
Social security;Propensity score matching
III