ON THE PULSE OF THE NETWORKED SOCIETY
Ericsson
Mobility
Report
NOVEMBER2016
2 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NOVEMBER 2016
Mobile subscription essentials20152016
2022
forecast
CAGR
2016–2022Unit
Worldwide mobile subscriptions7,3007,5008,9002%million
Smartphone subscriptions3,3003,9006,80010%million
Mobile PC, tablet and mobile
router* subscriptions2402503204%million
Mobile broadband subscriptions3,5004,3008,00010%million
Mobile subscriptions, GSM/EDGE-only3,6003,100900-20%million
Mobile subscriptions, WCDMA/HSPA2,1002,3002,8005%million
Mobile subscriptions, LTE1,1001,7004,60020%million
Mobile subscriptions, 5G550million
Traffc essentials**20152016
2022
forecast
CAGR
2016–2022Unit
Data traffc per smartphone1.41.91135%GB/month
Data traffc per mobile PC5.77.72320%GB/month
Data traffc per tablet2.53.51120%GB/month
Total mobile data traffc5.38.56945%EB/month
Total fxed data traffc 607017020%EB/month
Mobile traffc growth forecast
Multiplier
2016–2022
CAGR
2016–2022
All mobile data840%
Smartphones1045%
Mobile PC215%
Tablets530%
Data traffc per smartphone20162022Unit
Western Europe2.722GB/month
Central and Eastern Europe1.915GB/month
Middle East and Africa1.37.6GB/month
Asia Pacifc1.79.5GB/month
North America5.125GB/month
Latin America1.69.6GB/month
Key fgures
* Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) devices not included
** Active devices
Key contributors
Executive Editor: Patrik Cerwall
Project Manager:Anette Lundvall
IoT section: Peter Jonsson
Editors: Stephen Carson, Anette Lundvall
Forecasts: Richard Mller, Susanna Bvertoft
Articles:Stephen Carson, Anders Furuskr, Peter Jonsson,
Jonas Kronander, Per Lindberg, Reiner Ludwig,
Kati hman, Jasmeet Singh Sehti
Regional appendices: Veronica Gully
Traffc Exploration Tool:
Create your own graphs, tablets and data using the Ericsson
Traffc Exploration Tool. The information available here can be
fltered by region, subscription, technology, traffc and device type.
To fnd out more, visit ericsson/mobility-report
There you will also fnd new regional reports
NOVEMBER 2016 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 3
Internet
of things
Ericsson
Mobility Report
550 million 5G subscriptions in 2022
Commercial 5G networks based
on ITU standards are expected
to be available in 2020, and early
deployments of pre-standard
networks are anticipated in several
markets. By the end of 2022, we
forecast 550 million 5G subscriptions
and a population coverage for the
technology of 10 percent, starting
in metropolitan and urban areas.
In addition to enhancing mobile
broadband services, 5G will enable
a wide range of use cases for the
Internet of Things (IoT). We continue
to forecast IoT connections, this time
describing the split between wide-area
and short-range connections.
We have included fve feature
articles in this edition of the
Ericsson Mobility Report.
In the frst article, we present fndings
from our study on time-to-content
for popular websites. A key fnding
is that a limited uplink in many cases
leads to slow time-to-content.
The second article explores how the use
of live video streaming is now spreading
across markets and user segments. One
important reason for this is the inclusion
of live streaming capabilities in social
apps. This is creating new expectations
around network performance.
As a special theme, we have an IoT focus
section in this report. Here we feature
three articles with different perspectives
on IoT and its transformational potential.
The frst two articles are co-written with
operators that have built IoT solutions
around their core assets, creating
additional business value. The third
article explores the cellular networks’
capabilities to support a realistic
massive IoT use case scenario.
I hope you fnd this report
relevant and engaging. All
of our content is available at
ericsson/mobility-report
PUBLISHER
Ulf Ewaldsson,
Senior Vice President, Chief
Strategy and Technology Offcer
FORECAST
articles
NOVEMBER 2016 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 3
04 Mobile subscriptions Q3 2016
06 Mobile subscriptions outlook
08 Regional subscriptions outlook
10 Voice over LTE outlook
11 Mobile traffc Q3 2016
12 Mobile traffc outlook
14Mobile traffc by
application category
16 State of the networks
19Uplink and slow time-to-content
22Live streaming joins social media
25Enabler of digital
business transformation
26Digital transformation and
the connected car
28 Analyzing IoT device performance
30 Massive IoT in the city
33 IoT outlook
34 Methodology
35 Glossary
25% of all mobile subscriptions
in North America are forecast
to be for 5G in 2022
VoLTE is becoming mainstream
– now launched in more than
80 networks in around 50 countries
910
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