文本描述
学校代码:11482
密级:
ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
硕士学位论文
MASTER THESIS
论文题目科技金融试点政策对经济高质量
发展的影响研究
作者姓名张婉玲
专业金融
所在学院中国金融研究院
指导教师武鑫
完成日期2023年10月
硕士学位论文
科技金融试点政策对经济高质量发
展的影响研究
2023年10月
MASTER THESIS
The Impact of Technology Financial
Pilot Policies on High-Quality
Economic Development
October 2023
浙江财经大学硕士学位论文
摘要
面对我国实现共同富裕的现实目标,研究如何推动经济高质量发展尤为重要。
科技与金融的结合可以为经济高质量发展提供重要的推动力,通过促进数字化转
型、支持新兴科技产业、加强金融科技创新和推动金融普惠等路径,最终实现经
济的可持续增长和共同富裕的目标。在分析科技金融的发展现状和相关政策后,
本文着眼于研究2011年和2016年实施的两批科技与金融结合试点政策对经济高
质量发展的影响作用。本文以科技金融试点政策为准自然实验,基于2005年至
2020年的267个城市的平衡面板数据,运用实证研究的方法评估试点效果,以
期为试点政策的进一步推进和优化提供行之有效的路径,助推经济高质量发展。
本文首先从两批科技金融试点政策的发展历程和经济高质量发展的现状进
行分析,并参考以往学者的研究成果从“创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享”五个
维度构建了经济高质量发展的指标体系。随后,本文运用熵权法计算出我国267
个城市的经济高质量发展指数,再运用多期DID 模型考察科技金融试点政策对城
市经济高质量发展的影响。最后,为了探究试点政策的具体影响效果,本文先是
通过构建空间杜宾模型考察了试点政策的空间溢出效应。紧接着,从城市等级和
经济区域两个角度进行了试点政策的区域异质性检验,并通过构建门槛模型测算
出影响试点政策效果的门槛变量的门槛值,探究经济基础和金融发展水平对试点
政策的非线性影响。
本文研究结果发现:第一,结合试点政策可以显著促进经济高质量发展,并
且政策效果具有持续性。第二,试点政策具有空间溢出效应,即试点政策不仅对
本市的经济高质量发展存在显著积极影响,还可以有效促进周边区域的高质量发
展。第三,试点政策对经济高质量发展的影响效果存在区域异质性,对中部、东
部地区的影响效果要显著高于西部地区,而省级城市中的政策促进效果要高于一
般城市。重要的是,门槛效应在试点政策对经济高质量发展的影响中尤为明显,
每当试点城市的经济基础和金融发展水平跨过一道门槛后,试点政策的影响系数
都会成倍增加。
综合上述分析,本文提出首先要完善科技金融试点政策,发挥政府宏观调控
作用。其次,发挥试点城市资源溢出效果,推进科技金融都市圈建设。最后,加
强区域间交流合作,因地制宜地实施差异化试点政策。从而最大化发挥科技金融
试点的政策效果,促进我国经济高质量发展,为实现共同富裕提供推动力。
关键词:科技金融;经济高质量发展;双重差分模型;空间杜宾模型
I
浙江财经大学硕士学位论文
Abstract
In the face of the realistic goal of achieving common prosperity in China,the
study of how to promote high-quality economic development is particularly important.
The combination of technology and finance can provide a significant impetus to
high-quality economic development by promoting digital transformation,supporting
emerging technology industries,enhancing financial technology innovation,and
promoting financial inclusion.This is ultimately aimed at achieving sustainable
economic growth and the goal of common prosperity.
Following an analysis of the current status of technology-driven finance and the
associated policies,this study shifts its focus to investigate the impact of two batches
of pilot policies combining technology and finance implemented in 2011and 2016on
the promotion of high-quality economic development.This research considers these
pilot policies as quasi-natural experiments and,employing empirical research methods,
evaluates their effects using balanced panel data encompassing 267cities from 2005
to 2020.The objective is to offer practical pathways for the further advancement and
optimization of pilot policies in the post-pandemic era.
This paper initiates its inquiry by firstly conducting an analysis of the
developmental trajectory of two batches of pilot policies combining technology and
finance,along with the current status of high-quality economic development.It
further references prior scholarly contributions to construct an indicator system for
high-quality economic development,which encompasses the dimensions of
"innovative,coordinated,green,open,and shared ."Subsequently,employing the entropy
weight method,this paper computes the high-quality economic development index for
267cities in China.It then utilizes a multi-period Difference-in-Differences (DID)
model to investigate the impact of pilot policies on the high-quality development of
these cities.Finally,to delve into the specific effects of these pilot policies,this paper
first examines the spatial spillover effects of the pilot policies by constructing a
spatial Durbin model.Following this,it conducts regional heterogeneity tests for the
pilot policies from two perspectives:city rank and economic region.By constructing a
threshold model,it calculates the threshold values of threshold variables that affect
the effectiveness of the pilot policies,exploring the nonlinear effects of economic
foundations and financial development levels on these policies.
The research findings of this study reveal the following:Firstly,pilot policies
II