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OECD2016年2025全球农业展望

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OECDFAO Agricultural Outlook 20162025 SpECiAl FOCuS: SubSAhArAn AFriCA OECDFAO Agricultural Outlook 20162025 The twelfth joint edition of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook provides market projections to 2025 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fsh. The 2016 report contains a special feature on the prospects for, and challenges facing, Sub-Saharan Africa. Over the ten-year Outlook period, slowing demand growth will be matched by effciency gains in production, implying relatively fat real agricultural prices. However, market and policy uncertainties imply a risk of resurgent volatility. The outlook for agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa is for rising food availability, which will support a declining incidence of undernourishment. The sector’s prospects could be much improved by more stable policies across the region, by strategic public and private investments, notably in infrastructure, and by suitably adapted research and extension. Contents Executive summary Chapter 1. Overview of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 Chapter 2. Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa: Prospects and challenges for the next decade Chapter 3. Commodity snapshots More detailed commodity chapters are available on line at http://dx.doi/10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-en . The projections and past trends presented in the statistical annex can be viewed in more detail at http://dx.doi/10.1787/agr-data-en . Supplementary information can be found at agri-outlook . iSbn 9789264253223 512016021 p Consult this publication on line at http://dx.doi/10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-en . This work is published on the OECD iLibrary, which gathers all OECD books, periodicals and statistical databases. Visit oecd-ilibrary for more information. 9HSTCQE*cfdccd+ O EC D AO A gr ic ul tu ra l O ut lo ok0120 25 OECD-FAO AgriculturalOutlook 2016-2025 ThisworkispublishedundertheresponsibilityoftheSecretary-GeneraloftheOECDandthe Director-GeneraloftheFAO.Theopinionsexpressedandargumentsemployedhereindonot necessarilyreflecttheofficialviewsofOECDmembercountries,orthegovernmentsoftheFAO membercountries. Thisdocumentandanymapincludedhereinarewithoutprejudicetothestatusoforsovereignty overanyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundariesandtothenameof anyterritory,cityorarea Thedesignationsemployedandthepresentationofmaterialinthisinformationproductdonot implytheexpressionofanyopinionwhatsoeveronthepartoftheFoodandAgriculture OrganizationoftheUnitedNationsconcerningthelegalordevelopmentstatusofanycountry, territory,cityorareaorofitsauthorities,orconcerningthedelimitationofitsfrontiersor boundaries. ThenamesofcountriesandterritoriesusedinthisjointpublicationfollowthepracticeoftheFAO. ISBN978-92-64-25322-3(print) ISBN978-92-64-25323-0(PDF) OECD-FAOAgriculturalOutlook ISSN1563-0447 ISSN1999-1142 FAO:
ISBN978-92-5-109296-5 ThestatisticaldataforIsraelaresuppliedbyandundertheresponsibilityoftherelevantIsraeliauthorities.Theuseofsuch databytheOECDiswithoutprejudicetothestatusoftheGolanHeights,EastJerusalemandIsraelisettlementsintheWest Bankunderthetermsofinternationallaw. ThepositionoftheUnitedNationsonthequestionofJerusalemiscontainedinGeneralAssemblyResolution181(II)of 29November1947,andsubsequentresolutionsoftheGeneralAssemblyandtheSecurityCouncilconcerningthisquestion. Photoscredits:
CoverOriginalcoverconceptdesignedbyJuanLuisSalazar.AdaptationsbyOECD. CorrigendatoOECDpublicationsmaybefoundonlineat:
oecd/about/publishing/corrigenda.htm . Youcancopy,downloadorprintOECDcontentforyourownuse,andyoucanincludeexcerptsfromOECDpublications,databasesandmultimedia productsinyourowndocuments,presentations,blogs,websitesandteachingmaterials,providedthatsuitableacknowledgmentofOECDandFAOas sourceandcopyrightownerisgiven.Allrequestsforpublicorcommercialuseandtranslationrightsshouldbesubmittedto rights@oecd .Requests forpermissiontophotocopyportionsofthismaterialforpublicorcommercialuseshallbeaddresseddirectlytotheCopyrightClearanceCenter(CCC) at info@copyright ortheCentrefranaisd’exploitationdudroitdecopie(CFC)at contact@cfcopies . Pleasecitethispublicationas:
OECD/FAO(2016), OECD-FAOAgriculturalOutlook2016-2025 ,OECDPublishing,Paris. http://dx.doi/10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-en
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