经济全球化、竞争白热化已使制造企业间的竞争扩展至整个供应链。对于中 小型制造业企业而言，一旦发生原料供应风险，就极可能会面临正常经营 受阻、 供应链断裂，甚至可能会出现企业倒闭现象。疫情当前，许多中小型企业正是因 为面临高度的供应链风险，而积极要求早日复工。因此，作为供应链关键节点的 制造企业 ，其原料供应风险问题正所谓迫在眉睫。因此，研究制造企业的原料供 应风险问题及应对措施十分必要。 在此背景下，本文以小型制造企业欧米特（苏州）机械有限公司（简称 OMET） 为企业样本，着重对该公司原料供应风险问题展开研究。首先，针对原料供应现 状及面临的主要风险来源进行调研，归纳出OMET面临的社会政治风险、市场 经济风险、供 应商风险、采购风险、技术风险、物流风险、质检风险等七大风险 源，并借助层次分析法对原料供应风险点所引发的风险事故在风险管控中的重要 性进行评估。其次，找出公司 原料供应方面的主要风险源来自于：供应商风险、 采购风险和技术风险三个主要方面，并确定风险事故排序，首先是时间，其次为 质量，再到数量，最后是价格。由此将风险点 以及风险事故排列出来，并找出其 重点，以此为风险评估和风险处理提供数据分析基础。第三，依据前述分析结果， 针对不同类型的原料风险提出相应的应对方案——实施原料 供应风险管理策略， 即具体的分层分类的原料供应风险管理方案。最后，作者为OMET实施原料供 应风险管理策略提出了实践步骤、难点和重点，并为落实上述策略提供了具体的 保障措施。 希望本文研究成果不但能为OMET降低原料供应风险、促进公司可持续性 发展提供参考，也能为其他小型制造企业解决供应链管理中的原料供应持续性问 题有所借鉴。 关键词：原料供应，风险管理，供应链管理，采购管理，层次分析法（AHP） MBA学位论文 作者：黄章军 欧米特苏州公司原料供应风险管理策略 II Risk Management Strategy on Material Supply for OMET Suzhou Company Abstract At present, the economic goes to the globalization and marketization. The competition among manufacturers has spread to supply chain capacity. In order to meet to market demand and make more profits, as different partners in their supply chains, enterprises are constantly improving their core competence and try their best to win customers in different supply chain area. They have to deal with the different risk from their supply chain, especially for manufacturers, the risk of material supply is very important and sometimes vital to keep their capactiy. Therefore, it is very urgent and important to study the risk of material supply and improve the risk management level for enterprises, especially for manufacturers . In this thesis, we take the small company – OMET (Suzhou) Machinery Co., Ltd as an example for manufacturers, focusing on its material supply risk. Firstly, we investigate and analyze the current situation on material supply risks in OMET by questionnaires survey and field observation. Secondly , we find the main risk sources of material supply . They are Supplier Risk , Purchasing Risk and Technical Risk . And the sorting of risk accidents are determined . The first is time . The second is quality .and the third is quantity . The last one is price . Thus , the risk sources and risk accidents are ranked . And the key points are found . These analysis data are provided a good basis for the risk assessment and treatment . Thirdly, we put forward a specific management plan –Material Supply Risk Management Schedule according to the risk analyzed result. Then, we provide the implements and corresponding guarantee measures for OMET to make the Schedule come true. We hope the result of this thesis help OMET improve the material supply capacity and respond the material supply risk more effectively and quickly. And it may give references to other enterprises, especially manufacturers reinforce risk management, get the sustainable capacity in supply chain management. Keywords: Material Supplying, Risk Management, Supply Chain Management MBA学位论文 作者：黄章军 欧米特苏州公司原料供应风 险管理策略 III (SCM) , Purchasing Management, Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) MBA学位论文 作者：黄章军 欧米特苏州公司原料供应风险管理策略 IV 目 录 中文摘要 ..................................................................................................... I Abstract ...................................................................................................... II 第一章 绪论 ............................................................................................... 1 1.1 研究背景与研究意义 ...................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 研究背景 ................................................................................................... 1 1.1.2 研究意义 ................................................................................................... 2 1.2 研究内容与研究思路 ...................................................................................... 2 1.2.1 研究内容 ................................................................................................... 2 1.2.2 研究思路 ................................................................................................... 3 第二章 相关理论基础 .............................................................................. 5 2.1 供应链管理与采购管理 .................................................................................. 5 2.1.1 供应链管理基本概念 ............................................................................... 5 2.1.2 供应链的本质与特征 ............................................................................... 6 2.1.3 采购管理特征 ........................................................................................... 7 2.2 风险管理 .......................................................................................................... 8 2.2.1 风险及风险管理概述 ............................................................................... 9 2.2.2 风险管理相关研究 ................................................................................. 10 2.2.3 风险管理的程序与方法 ......................................................................... 11 2.3 原料供应风险管理 ........................................................................................ 13 第三章 欧米特公司原料供应风险识别与评价 .................................... 15 3.1 欧米特公司原料供应概况 ............................................................................ 15 3.1.1 原料 采购流程 ......................................................................................... 16 3.1.2 采购供应管理 ......................................................................................... 17 3.1.3 供应商关系 ............................................................................................. 17 MBA学位论文 作者：黄章军 欧米特苏州公司原料供应风险管理策略 IV 3.1.4 原料供应中面临的主要风险 ................................................................. 18 3.2 原料供应风险调研分析 ................................................................................ 19 3.2.1 调研设计 ................................................................................................. 19 3.2.2 调研实施 ................................................................................................. 20 3.2.3 风险调研分析与评估 ............................................................................. 20 3.3 原料供应风险层次分析 ................................................................................ 24 3.3.1 确定原料供应风险的分析层次 ............................................................. 24 3.3.2 确定各类风险事故的重要性排序 ......................................................... 26 3.3.3 确定不同原料供应风险点中的风险权重系数 ..................................... 28 3.4 原料供应风险供应节点分布 ........................................................................ 29 第四章 欧米特公司原料供应风险管理策略的制定 ............................ 32 4.1 策略制定的目标、准则与思路 .................................................................... 32 4.1.1 目标 ..................