我国是一个发展中国家,虽然整体交通运输业有了长足的发展,但我国 疆域辽阔,人口众多,资源分布不均,各地区经济发展也极为不平衡,有些 地区至今还没有现代化交通工具,需要通过铁路长途运输大宗货物。加上我 国目前正处于前工业化时期,因此,铁路运输仍是我国的主要伪运输方式, 它将继续发挥骨干作用,作为铁路整个运输过程中一个重要的环节—铁路货场作业,也将发挥重要作用。货场是铁路车站的组成部分,是铁路组织货 物运输的基层生产单位。长期以来货场未能得到相应的重视,货场改建工作 滞后,导致我国铁路货场设备相对落后,从而出现了所谓“消化能力”不足, 货场己经成为制约铁路整体运输能力的瓶颈。 为了更好地适应经济的发展的需求,服务社会,方便用户,保证产品安 全、快捷的运输至目的地,货场急需改建转型。 本文针对以上情况,从物流环境分析开始,讲述现在市场上物流业的发 展情况,并就货场对本地区的吸引范围内的物流需求做了预测。然后对把货 场改建成多元型货场、现代化仓储基地、配送中心、综合性物流园区和综合 性批发市场等五种分别做了竞争力评价,各种方案都有其实行的利弊,考虑 货场所处的社会经济、交通地理环境的基础上,对各种方案进行对比,进行 方案选择,并对选择方案进行投资估算、资金筹措、财务评价和国民经济评 价。最后,以成都西货场发展战略及可行性研究作为案例进行分析,来说明 铁路货场建设物流园区的可行性。 关镇词:货场:物流园区;经济评价;可行性研究西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第日页 Abstraet AlthoughthewholetransPortationindustryeontainssubstantial develoPment,oureountry15adeveloPingeount以thearea15broad,densely PoPulated,andtheresoureesdistribution15notwellbalaneed.Andeeonomie develoPmentinsomearea15extremelyunbalaneed.There15notmodemtraffie toolsinsomeregions,50it15neeessarytouserailwaytransPortationinthese regions.Nowoureountry15beingPre一industrializedPeriod,50therailway transPortation15stillthePrimarytransPortationinoureountry,anditwill eontributetotheeeonomies.AsoneoftheimPortantrailwaytransPortation Processes,therailway一stallalsomakesimPortantfunetion.FUrthermore,the railway一stall15thePartofrailwaystation,andalsobeingthebasieunitinthe railwayfreighttransPortation.W己havenottakentherailway一stallintoaceouat forlongtime,50therailway一stalleonstruetiondeveloPedslowly.Thatleadsto therelativelylaggardequiPmentintherailway一stalls,anditturnsuPthe Phenomenon:the50一ealled‘digestivePowershortage’.Andtherailway一stalls havebeenthebottleneekofdeveloPingthewholerailwaytransPortationeapacity. 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AeeordingtotheaboveeircUInstancediscussedinthePaPer,theauthortry toanalysisthelogisticsenvirorUnent,discussthedeveloPmentoflogisties industryintheeurrentdomesticmarket,andestimatethelogistiesrequirementof西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第111页 theattraeted一seoPeareatotherailway一stall.ThentheauthorPutsforwardfive railway一stalleonstructionProjeets:multi一tyPerailway一stall,modemstorebase, distributioneenter,synthetielogistiesdistrictandsyntheticwholesaling.Andthe PaPerevaluatedeomPetitivenessofthefiveProjeets,50drawaeonelusionthat everyProjeet15notPerfeet,buthavetheiradvantagesanddefeets.Besides, eonsideringthesoeiety,eeonomiesandtraffiesurroundings,thePaPereomPares everyProjeet,seleetsthegoodProject,即destimatestheinvestmentofthe Projeet,thewaysoffundeolleetion,finaneialevaluationandnationaleconomies evaluation. Atlast,thePaPertakestheChengdu认/estReailway一stallforinstance, diseussesthefeasibilitystudyoftheexamPle,anddrawstheeonclusionofthe feasibilityofehangingtherailway一stallintologisticsdistrict. Keywords:railway一stall:logistiesdistriet;eeonomieevaluation:feasibility西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第lv页 目录 第1章概述·····································································1 1 . 1铁路货场及现状分析···················································1 1 . 2铁路货场发展前景概述···················································2 1 . 3物流基础概况·······························································2 1.4我国物流现状分析···············.··········································3 第2章物流需求预测····························································6 2.1整体与区域社会经济发展对物流需求的影响分析··················6 2 . 1 . 1物流需求及物流需求预测··········································6 2 . 12影响物流需求的主要因素分析····································6 2.2吸引范围内综合物流需求预测··········································8 2 . 2.1综合物流需求量······················································9 2 . 2 . 2各个经济区未来物流需求分布比例······························H 2 . 2 . 3吸引范围内有效综合物流量需求预测···························12 第3章物流中心(园区)竞争力评价··········································13 3 . 1物流中心(园区)竞争力评价指标的设计原则·····················13 3.2物流中心(园区)竞争力评价体系的构成······························14 3.3物流中心(园区)竞争力评价··········································16 第4章铁路货场建设物流园区的原则及发展战略规划··················1S 铁路货场建设物流园区的约束条件···································20 4 . 2铁路货场建设物流园区的基本原则···································19西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第V页 4 . 2.1铁路货场建设物流园区的布局协调原则························19 4 . 2 . 2铁路货场建设物流园区的能力协调原则························20 4 . 2.3铁路货场建设物流园区的技术设备协调原则··················21 4 . 3发展战略思想·······························································21 4.4发展战略目标·······························································22 4.5战略发展重点·············”··········································22 第5章货场改建方案比较及经济评价方法·································24 5 . 1货场改建物流园区项目可行方案介绍·································24 5.1.1多元性货场和专业性货场方案····································24 5 . 1 . 2仓储基地方案·························································26 5 . 1 . 3配送中心方案·························································30 5.1.4物流园区方案·························································36 5 . 1.5批发市场方案·························································41 5 . 2货场改建方案经济评价方法·············································44 5 . 2 . 1方案初步规划与分项投资估算····································44 5 . 2 . 2 第6章 资金筹措分析·························································45 成都西货场改建案例分析·············································49 6 . 1西货场物流环境分析······················································49 6 . 1 . 1西货场现状分析······················································49 6 . 1 . 2西货场的物流环境分析·············································50 6 . 2物流园区竞争力评价······················································52 6 . 3西货场改建方案比较······················································56西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第vI页 6 . 3 . 1西货场地址与社会经济环境分析·································56 6 . 3 . 2区域交通分析······················································...57 6.3.3西货场发展项目分析················································58 6 . 3 . 4西货场发展项目可行方案初步对比分析························61 结论·················································································63 致谢····················································································66