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世界能源展望(2022年版)PDF

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内容简介
bp Energy Outlook
2022 edition2 |
Energy Outlook
2022 explores the
key uncertainties
surrounding the
energy transition
Energy Outlook 2022 is focussed on three main scenarios:
Accelerated, Net Zero and New Momentum. These scenarios are not
predictions of what is likely to happen or what bp would like to happen.
Rather they explore the possible implications of di?erent judgements
and assumptions concerning the nature of the energy transition.
The scenarios are based on existing and developing technologies
and do not consider the possibility of entirely new or unknown
technologies emerging.
The many uncertainties mean that the probability of any one of these
scenarios materializing exactly as described is negligible.
Moreover, the three scenarios do not provide a comprehensive
description of all possible outcomes. However, they do span a wide
range of possible outcomes and so might help to inform a judgement
about the uncertainty surrounding energy markets out to 2050.
The Outlook was largely prepared before the military action by
Russia in Ukraine and does not include any analysis of the possible
implications of those developments on economic growth or global
energy mar