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2022年全球旅游经济趋势报告PDF

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I. Development Environment: The Global Economy is Recovering. 1.The growth prospects for the global economy have been improved. First, there is stronger momentum for global economic recovery. According to the World Economic Outlook released by the IMF on October 12, 2021, the global economy was expected to grow by 5.9% and 4.9% respectively in 2011 and 2022. Second, there is stronger momentum for growth in the global trade in goods. According to the World Trade Statistical Review released by the WTO on October 4, 2021, the expected growth rate of trade in goods in 2021 was adjusted from 8.0% to 10.8%. Third, there is relatively modest recovery in the international investment. According to the Global Investment Trends Monitor released by the UNCTAD in October, 2021, the global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in the first half of 2021 was expected to reach $852 billion. It is forecast that the FDI flows in 2022 will continue to grow and even to the level of 2019 according to the upper prediction limit. 2.Uncertainties of the COVID-19 pandemic With new variants of COVID-19 keep popping up from Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delt