淄博鲁中化工有限公司成立于 1998 年，为合资经营有限责任公司。鲁中化工有 限公司是淄博市人民政府批准的，是市重点扶持的重点大型企业之一。公司现有 5 万吨聚氯乙烯生产装置，是公司目前重要利润支撑点;近来，由于国家产业政策调整， 公司原有消耗氯的产品装置被迫停车，严重影响公司氯碱产品的生产平衡，从而影响 公司整体经济效益;分析现有消耗氯的产品结构，初步认为扩改聚氯乙烯生产装置既 能解决氯产品平衡问题，又能取得一定的经济效益。 本文从聚氯乙烯的市场分析、技术分析、经济评价等三个方面论述项目的可行性， 论证了该项目所选技术、工艺、装置规模符合了公司资源的实际情况，项目采用了当 今电石法生产聚氯乙烯工艺的先进技术，符合电石法生产工艺的发展趋势，进一步改 善了现有装置的可靠性、节能性、环保性，并根据国家现行财税制度和价格体系，分 析了项目的财务盈利能力，表明 10 万吨聚氯乙烯扩改项目，在技术上先进、可靠， 经济上合理，符合国家产业政策，建议公司尽快实施此项目。 关键词 聚氯乙烯 可行性研究 技术分析 项目经济评价Zibo in Shandong Chemical Co. Ltd. 100,000 tons / year of PVC Project Feasibility Study ABSTRACT Luzhong Chemical Group Co. Ltd，autherized by the provincial government of ZIBO，The corporation has 50000ton PVC production plant and that is the important Profit supporting Point currently. These years the chlorine consuming production plant is compelled to stop according to the industry policy change of the state，this affects seriously the balance of the chlorine-alkali production of the corporation，consequently decreases the whole profit of the corporation. This paper analyses the existing chloring consuming product structure，and points out that enlarging and reforming the PVC production plant can not only resolve the balance of the chlorine products，but also bring about some substantial profit. This Paper discusses the feasibility of the above-mentioned Project through the analyses of the PVC Market，the technology and the economical appraisal. It demonstrates that the technology，processes and plant scale chosen for the project suits the real resources situation of the corporation. This Project adopts the advanced calcium production technology that accords with the development trend of the calcium production，all this improves the reliability ， energy saving and environment conservation. This paper demonstrates that the 10000 ton PVC project is ad7iuuuvanced and reliable technologically，reasonable economically，and it accords with the state industry policy with the analysis of the project’s financial profitability under the state current financial and revenue system and the price system. It is suggested for our corporation to carry out the project soon. KEY WORDS ，PVC, feasibility，technological analysis，project economical appraisal目 录 1 导论….…...... … 1 1.1 选题背景.........…......…......….….l 1.1.1 选题背景.. .. ....l 1.1.2 国内外研究现状.... ..…1 1.1.3 本文涉及的化工产品简要介绍...... ….3 1.2 理论依据与方法综述...…......….. ...........................…4 1.2.1 规模经济理论......….4 1.2.2 经济评价分析方法….......5 1.3 主要研究内容、目的和意义............................. ........ . …..…............................7 1.3.1 可行性研究的主要内容................................... ...... . …..…..........................7 1.3.2 研究的目的和意义.......................................... ........ .. …..…........10 1.4 报告篇幅主要结构........................................... .......... …..…..... .....................…10 2 项目概况和环境分析.................................... ......................…..12 2.1 项目概况................................................................ …..…. ............................12 2.1.1 项目提出背景............................................... …..…........ .............…12 2.1.2 产品方案和生产规模............................... …..…............ ........................ 12 2.1.3 项目实施规划........................................... …..….............. ...................... 13 2.2 外部环境分析....................................................... …..…........ ...........…...…13 2.2.1 世界聚氯乙烯现状:........................................ …..…...... ....... 13 2.2.2 国内聚氯乙烯生产现状.................................. …..…...…....... 16 2.2.3 需求预测.................................…...... …..22 2.3 建厂条件分析............................................. ...... .. ......…..…....................................... 24 2.3.1 建厂条件和厂址方案........................ . ...... ................ …..…................................ 24 2.3.2 气象条件......................................…....................... 25 2.3.3 地质条件.........................................…......…..…............. 25 2.3.4 电汽供应...............................................…..…..........25 2.3.5 上水................................................…....26 2.3.6 交通条件及优势...................................... ...... ........262.4 原材料及原料消耗............................... ….... …....26 2.4.1 主要原料消耗....................................….. 26 2.4.2 主要燃料消耗..............................…..….. 26 2.4.3 原料的规格与质量标准....................... . ..........….........27 2.5 公用工程和辅助设施的概况..................28 2.5.1 总图平面布置说明........…. . ...........…..…....28 2.5.2 工厂运输量及运输方案........…..................…..…..28 3 项目技术综合评价................................. .. ….........…............. 31 3.1 聚氯乙烯生产技术分析....................................... .. ….... ..…......... 31 3.1.1 各工艺路线特点...................................... …....... ….. …....…. ….... 31 3.1.2 各工艺技术生产成本比较.......................... ........ …....….............. 32 3.1.3 拟采用工艺路线......................... .................….. …....….......33 3.1.4 工艺技术方案的比较........................... …..….. …..................34 3.1.5 自控技术方案.............................. .... …..….............37 3.2 技术进步与节能......................... .. .. …...................37 3.3 环保、安全、卫生、消防............................... .. …..…..........…38 3.3.1 三废排放情况及处理措施......................... ….. …..….. …..….. …................38 3.3.2 主要物料危险特性..................... .. ….... .. …..….............39 3.3.3 劳动保护与安全卫生.............................. .. .. ….. .. …...…...............41 3.3.4 消防............................. ....... ..... .. .. …..... .. …...…................. 41 4 项目经济评价........................................... ….................... 42 4.1 投资估算和资金筹措...................................... ..….. ….................42 4.1.1 编制说明...................................... .. ..........…................................42 4.1.2 项目的市场调查与分析...................... ......... .................. …..…. …......42 4.2 投资估算和资金筹措...................................... …...................42 4.2.1 编制说明................................................ ….. …..…..…....................42 4.2.2 投资估算........................................... ....... …................43 4.2.3 资金筹措...................................…......….. .. …......43 4.3 财务、经济评价.............................................. .. …..…...................434.3.1 总成本费用估算............................... ........ .. …..... ..…....................43 4.3.2 年销售收入和年税金估算..................... .. …. .. …..…..…... ...43 4.3.3 利润总额及分配........................................ .. …..….................43 4.3.4 盈利能力分析....................................... .. …..…..…. ….................. 43 研究结论..................................................................... …............. 45 项目展望.................................................................. …................. 46