2007年1月17日，深圳市申办2011年第26届世界大学生运动会获得了成功。 作为举办此届世界大学生运动会的核心区域，龙岗体育新城的建设将为龙岗区的 城市化、现代化、国际化提供了绝佳的载体和支撑。根据体育新城规划，将新城 西侧与东莞相邻的山体、龙口水库以及与大运中心相邻的铜鼓岭、大岭鼓等区域 规划为体育生态公园。按照国际惯例，举办世界性的运动会并在同城建设同名的 公园，有利于增加运动会的附加值，提升举办地城市的核心价值。大运自然公园 的建设将以此为契机，以大运中心高标准的建设水平为依托，充分利用现有自然 资源，打造一个赛时服务于大运会，赛后服务于广大市民及游客的体育生态公园。 本文从大运自然公园项目的实际情况出发，采用理论与实践相结合的研究方 法，详实地分析了大运自然公园项目的可行性问题。报告首先介绍了可行性研究 的相关理论和拟建项目概况，然后结合可行性研究的方法和程序，运用现代工程 学、经济学和管理科学理论从项目建设的必要性和条件、项目规模及规划设计方 案、投资估算和资金来源、项目建设与管理、项目效果评价五个方面对该项目的 必要性和可行性进行了论证。通过分析论证最后得出了科学合理的结论，并提出 了建议。 关键词：世界大运会；自然公园；项目；可行性研究ABSTRACT January 17, 2007, Shenzhen successfully became the host city of the 26th World University Games in 2011. As the core area of this World University Games, the construction of Longgang Sports new town provides excellent carriers and support for the urbanization, modernization, and internationalization of the Longgang district. According to the urban plans of the Sport Town, the mountain area and Longkou reservoir at the west of the town which neighboring Dongguan, and Tongguling, Dalinggu next to the World University Games Center will be planned for sports ecological park. In accordance with international practice, in the city which hosts world-level games, it is helpful for the growth of the added value of the Games and the promotion of the host city's core values to build a park with the same name of the Games. Based on the high construction standard of the World University Games Center, the construction of the World University Games Nature Park will take this opportunity to make full use of existing natural resources and create a sports ecological park that serve the World University Games in game-time, and serve the general public and visitors after the games. Based on the situation of this World University Games Nature Park project and the research method of the combination of theory and practice, this thesis analyzed the feasibility of this project in details. First of all, the thesis introduced the relevant theories about feasibility study and briefly described the basic profiles of the project. Then it analyzed and demonstrated the project from the aspects of marketing, technology, economy, society and risks combined with the methods and procedures of feasibility study as well as modern engineering science, economics and management science. It finally get a conclusion that the project is feasible and provided some useful suggestions. Key words: World University Games, Natural Park, Project, Feasibility Study目 录 第一章 绪论 ..............................................................................................................1 1.1 选题的背景和意义 .........................................................................................1 1.2 国内外可行性研究综述 .................................................................................2 1.2.1 国外可行性研究概况 ..............................................................................2 1.2.2 国内可行性研究发展概况 ......................................................................4 1.3 报告的研究内容 .............................................................................................5 第二章 可行性研究理论 ..........................................................................................7 2.1 可行性研究的概念 .........................................................................................7 2.2 可行性研究的作用 .........................................................................................7 2.3 可行性研究的依据和要求 ..............................................................................8 2.3.1 可行性研究的依据 ...................................................................................8 2.3.2 可行性研究的要求 ..................................................................................8 2.4 可行性研究的阶段划分 ..................................................................................9 2.5 可行性研究的主要内容 ................................................................................10 第三章 项目建设的必要性和条件......................................................................15 3.1 项目概况 .......................................................................................................15 3.2 项目建设的必要性分析 ................................................................................15 3.2.1 项目建设符合建设“生态文明”的目标和行动纲领 .............................15 3.2.2 项目建设符合城市总体规划以及片区规划的要求 .............................16 3.2.3 项目的建设对大运会这一“城市事件”的积极影响 .............................18 3.3 项目建设的可行性分析 ...............................................................................19 3.3.1 良好的前期调研基础 .............................................................................19 3.3.2 政府对大运自然公园建设的重视和支持 .............................................19 3.3.3 可供借鉴的国内外同类型公园的建设经验 .........................................20 3.3.4 生态环境保护及恢复工程的可行性 .....................................................20 3.3.5 主题纪念、康体健身、游憩休闲、科普教育场所建设的可行性 .....21 3.4 项目建设条件分析 .......................................................................................22 3.4.1 自然环境条件.........................................................................................22 3.4.2 建设现状 ................................................................................................24 3.4.3 项目建设条件总结 .................................................................................27 第四章 项目规模及规划设计方案......................................................................28 4.1 目标定位 ........................................................................................................284.2 规模分析 ........................................................................................................28 4.2.1 建设规模 .................................................................................................28 4.2.2 公园游人容量预测 ................................................................................28 4.2.3 常规设施服务容量预测 .........................................................................33 4.2.4 管理用房规模 .........................................................................................34 4.3 规划设计方案 ...............................................................................................35 4.3.1 项目指导原则 ........................................................................................35 4.3.2 主题策划 ................................................................................................35 4.3.3 规划主线 ................................................................................................36 4.3.4 景区景点规划 ........................................................................................36 4.3.5 植物专项规划 ........................................................................................38 4.3.6 交通系统规划 .........................................................................................40 4.3.7 建筑规划 ................................................................................................41 4.3.8 配套设施规划 ........................................................................................43 4.3.9 防灾避险规划 ...............................................................................