本研究收集中国 31 个省份 16 年的入境旅游经济相关数据，借助引力模型、 社会网络分析两种主要研究方法，通过多学科的交叉和融合，从关系数据、网络 分析视角重新审视中国入境旅游经济空间关联关系，全面解构中国入境旅游经济 增长空间关联的“整体网络结构”，聚焦于其空间关联的整体网络结构形态及其 演化特征，划分中国区域入境旅游经济发展的圈层结构。得出如下结论，（1） 在考察期的四个时间截面上，中国区域入境旅游经济呈现非均衡发展态势，其空 间关联的总量、绝对值变化量、隶属度呈现较明显的地带性阶梯式分布特征。此 外，其空间关联的相对变化量地带性分异特征较显著，而相对增长倍数的地带性 分异特征不显著；（2）在中国区域入境旅游经济空间关联的整体网络结构中，其 增长的空间关联网络结构表现出非均衡发展特征，入境旅游经济的溢出和受益关 系之间表现出较明显的不对称性，但差异呈现逐渐减小趋势，部分区域或省份充 当着“扩散”和“集聚”的主要角色，起始阶段，主要是京津冀、长三角地区的 省区市的标准化中介中心度值排名较前，此后，部分东、中部地区省份的标准化 中介中心度值的排名上升，逐渐在入境旅游经济空间关联网络中不易受其他区域 影响，具有更强的独立性和信息获取能力；(3)中国 31 个省区市入境旅游经济空 间关联网络密度的演化趋势的整体空间关联关系在数量上呈现逐年上升的趋势， 区域间入境旅游经济空间关联关系的紧密程度却不高，整体网络结构不够紧密； 此外，整体网络的通达性较好，关联度较高，通达度较高，具有比较均匀的结构， 且权力较为分散，等级程度不高，整体网络的空间溢出作用普遍存在于各省份之 间，联通效果佳；（4）从块模型分析可知，在整个入境旅游经济空间关联的网 络结构中居核心地位的是，浙江、江苏、广东、 天津、上海、北京，其余省区 市均不同程度与核心省区市发生复杂而深刻的联系。此外，块模型分析显示，在 四个时间截面上，整体网络板块间的空间溢出“梯度”特征明显。 关键词，万有引力模型 ; 入境旅游经济 ; 社会网络分析 ; 空间关联结构新疆大学硕士学位论文 II Abstract This study collects 16-year panel data on inbound tourism economy in 31 provinces of China. With the help of gravity model and social network analysis, through the intersection and integration of multi-disciplines, this study re-examines the spatial correlation of China's economic growth from the perspective of relationship data and network analysis, and comprehensively deconstructs the overall network structure of spatial correlation of China's economic growth. The network structure and evolution characteristics of the spatial correlation of China's overall inbound tourism economy divide the circle structure of China's regional inbound tourism economic development. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) In the four time sections of the survey period, the regional inbound tourism economy in China presents a non-balanced development trend, and the total, absolute value and membership degree of spatial correlation show obvious zonal ladder distribution characteristics. In addition, the zonal differentiation characteristics of the relative change amount of spatial correlation are significant, while the zonal differentiation characteristics of the relative growth multiple are not significant. (2) In the overall network structure of spatial association of inbound tourism economy in China, the spatial association network structure of economic growth of inbound tourism in China shows unbalanced development, and the relationship between spillover and benefit of inbound tourism economy shows greater asymmetry, but the difference shows a decreasing trend. Some regions or provinces play the main role of diffusion and agglomeration. At first, the standardized intermediary centers in the provinces of Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and Yangtze River Delta ranked first. Later, the standardized intermediary centers ranked higher in some provinces of eastern and central regions. They were gradually not easily controlled by other regions in the spatial connection network of inbound tourism economy, and had stronger independence and information acquisition ability. (3) The overall spatial relationship of the spatial connection network density of inbound tourism economy in 31新疆大学硕士学位论文 III provinces and autonomous regions of China shows an upward trend year by year in quantity. The degree of the spatial connection of inbound tourism economy among regions is still not high, and the overall network structure is not close enough. In addition, the overall network has good accessibility, high correlation, high accessibility, and has comparison. Uniform structure, decentralized power and low level, the spatial spillover effect of the whole network exists widely among provinces, and the effect of interconnection is good. (4) In the block model analysis, it can be seen that Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Tianjin, Shanghai and Beijing are at the core of the whole network structure of spatial correlation of inbound tourism economy, and the other provinces and regions have complex and profound connections with the core provinces and cities in varying degrees. In addition, according to the results of the block model analysis, the spatial spillover gradient between the whole network plates is obvious in the four time sections. Key words: gravitational model; regional inbound tourism economy; social network analysis; spatial correlation structure新疆大学硕士学位论文 IV 目录 摘要 .................................................................................................................Ⅰ Abstract ................................................................................................................Ⅱ 目录………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..Ⅲ 一、绪论................................................................................................................1 （一）研究背景与意义........................................................................................1 1、研究背景 .................................................................................................1 2、研究意义 .................................................................................................2 3、研究目的 .................................................................................................2 （二）概念界定....................................................................................................3 1、区域入境旅游经济的空间关联 .............................................................3 2、空间关联网络分析 .................................................................................3 二、理论基础与研究综述....................................................................................4 （一）理论基础....................................................................................................4 1、核心边缘理论 .........................................................................................4 2、增长极理论 .............................................................................................4 3、主要经济联系方向论 .............................................................................5 （二）研究综述....................................................................................................5 1、入境旅游经济的时空分布特征研究 .....................................................5 2、入境旅游经济发展的影响因素研究 .....................................................6 3、入境旅游经济的空间关联及结构研究 .................................................7 4、文献述评 .................................................................................................8 （三）本章小结……………………………………………………………………………………………….9 三、研究方法及数据来源..................................................................................11 （一）指标选取及数据来源..............................................................................11 1、指标选取 ...............................................................................................11 2、数据来源 ...............................................................................................11 （二）研究方法..................................................................................................11 1、万有引力模型 .......................................................................................11 2、社会网络分析法（SNA）.....................................................................12 （1）网络密度 ...................................................................................13 （2）关联性 .......................................................................................13 （3）中心性 .......................................................................................14 （4）块模型 .......................................................................................15 （三）技术路线..................................................................................................15 （四）本章小结..................................................................................................15 四、基于引力模型的中国区域入境旅游经济发展空间关联分析..................16 （一）各省入境旅游经济空间关联总量的分析..............................................16 （二）各省入境旅游经济空间关联变化量的分析..........................................19 （三）各省入境旅游经济空间关联的隶属度分析..........................................20 （四）本章小结..................................................................................................24 五、中国区域入境旅游经济空间关联网络结构演化分析..............................25新疆大学硕士学位论文 V （一）网络密度..................................................................................................25 （二）网络关联性分析......................................................................................25 1、网络关联度、等级度分析 ...................................................................25 2、网络效率分析 .......................................................................................26 3、中心性分析 ...........................................................................................26 （1）点度中心度分析 .......................................................................26 （2）接近中心度分析 .......................................................................28 （3）中介中心度分析 .......................................................................29 4、块模型分析 ...........................................................................................33 （三）本章小结..................................................................................................39 六、结论与建议..................................................................................................40 （一）研究结论..................................................................................................40 （二）建议..........................................................................................................41 1、重视空间非均衡发展问题，逐步调整和优化网络结构 ...................41 2、开展多渠道的空间溢出，发挥不同板块的优势 ...............................41 3、坚持区域协同发展的理念，持续推动入境旅游业的全面发展 .......42 4、因地制宜，制定合适的、针对性强的区域发展政策 .......................42 （三）研究局限与展望......................................................................................42 1、局限性 ...................................................................................................42 2、研究展望 ...............................................................................................43