电厂建设项目具有广泛的社会和经济效益，对其进行可行性研究具有重大的 现实意义。本文以可行性研究的基本理论为基础，结合邯郸矿业集团有限公司煤 矸石电厂项目的实际情况，对其进行深入、系统的可行性研究。本文首先分析阐 述项目建设的必要性，进而从技术可行性、环境可行性、经济可行性三方面对该 项目可行性进行分析研究，得出该项目的建设是必要的，技术、环境是可行的， 项目盈利能力强，投资效益显著。同时，在此基础上，本文对该项目进行风险分 析，并针对项目市场风险、管理风险方面提出控制对策。 本文结合项目深入、系统地对项目的可行性进行研究，能够帮助我们在电厂 建设过程中避免决策的盲目性，做到项目定位清晰、技术安排合理、成本预算管 理有效，从而提高项目资本运营效率。本文对于指导工程项目的开发具有重要的 实践意义，对电厂建设项目时也具有一定的参考意义。 关键词，技术可行性；市场风险；管理风险；模糊层次分析法华北电力大学硕士学位报告 II Abstract Power plant construction project has a wide range of social and economic feasibility study of its great practical significance. In this paper,we combine the actual situation of Handan Mining Group Co., Ltd. gangue power plant project,and based on feasibility study of basic theory to make its depth, the system's feasibility study. This paper analyzes the necessity of the project described, and then from the technical feasibility, environmental feasibility, economic viability of the project in three areas of feasibility studies, construction of the project obtained the necessary technology, the environment is possible Project profitability and strong investment returns significantly. Meanwhile, on this basis, this risk analysis of the project, and for the project market risk, put forward management risk control measures. In this paper, the project in-depth, systematic study on the feasibility of the project, will help us in the process of building power plants to avoid blindness in decision-making, so that a clear project location, technology will be reasonable, cost-effective budget management to improve project equity Efficiency. This project for the development of the guidance has important practical significance, the power plant construction projects also have some reference value. Keywords，Technical feasibility；Market risks；Management risk；Fuzzy AHP华北电力大学硕士学位报告 III 目 录 摘要...........................................................................................................................I Abstract.............................................................................................................................II 第 1 章 绪 论.................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 研究背景及意义 ............................................................................................... 1 1.2 国内外研究动态 ............................................................................................... 1 1.2.1 国外研究动态 ........................................................................................ 1 1.2.2 国内研究动态 ........................................................................................ 3 1.3 研究方法与研究内容 ....................................................................................... 3 1.3.1 研究方法 ................................................................................................. 3 1.3.2 研究内容 ................................................................................................ 4 第 2 章 可行性研究的理论支持.................................................................................... 5 2.1 可行性研究的概念 ............................................................................................ 5 2.2 可行性研究的作用 ........................................................................................... 5 2.3 可行性研究的主要内容 .................................................................................... 6 第 3 章 邯郸矿业集团有限公司煤矸石电厂项目建设必要性分析............................ 7 3.1 满足地区电网负荷增长的需要 ....................................................................... 7 3.1.1 河北省南部地区电网现状 ..................................................................... 7 3.1.2 邯郸地区电网现状 ................................................................................ 8 3.1.3 河北南网负荷预测 ................................................................................ 8 3.1.4 邯郸地区负荷预测 ................................................................................ 9 3.2 发展矿区循环经济的需要 ............................................................................... 9 3.3 建设成为能源基地，完善枢纽架构 ............................................................. 10 3.4 发展多种经营，推动地方经济发展的需要 ..................................................11 3.5 煤矸石综合利用的必要性 ..............................................................................11 3.6 必要性分析结论 ............................................................................................. 12 第 4 章 项目建设技术可行性分析.............................................................................. 13 4.1 厂址条件研究 ................................................................................................. 13 4.1.1 建设大型电厂的厂址条件 ................................................................... 13 4.1.2 项目厂址条件分析 .............................................................................. 14 4.2 燃料供应及运输分析 ..................................................................................... 18 4.2.1 燃料来源 .............................................................................................. 18 4.2.2 锅炉燃料品质 ....................................................................................... 19华北电力大学硕士学位报告 IV 4.2.3 燃料运输 .............................................................................................. 20 4.3 装机方案分析 ................................................................................................. 20 4.3.1 汽轮机选型分析 .................................................................................. 20 4.3.2 锅炉选型分析 ...................................................................................... 23 4.3.3 装机方案选择 ...................................................................................... 23 4.4 技术可行性分析结果 ..................................................................................... 25 第 5 章 项目环境可行性分析...................................................................................... 26 5.1 项目环境指标选取与体系建立 ..................................................................... 26 5.1.1 项目环境指标选取 .............................................................................. 26 5.1.2 项目环境指标体系建立 ...................................................................... 26 5.2 模糊层次分析评价方法简介 ......................................................................... 27 5.2.1 层次分析法 ........................................................................................... 27 5.2.2 模糊综合评价法 ................................................................................... 31 5.3 基于模糊层次分析法的项目环境可行性分析 ............................................. 33 5.3.1 计算 A-B 判断矩阵 .............................................................................. 33 5.3.2 计算分层 B-C 判断矩阵 ...................................................................... 33 5.3.3 项目环境体系评价 ............................................................................... 35 5.3.4 项目环境体系综合评价 ....................................................................... 35 5.4 结果分析 .......................................................................................................... 36 第 6 章 项目的经济效益评价 ..................................................................................... 37 6.1 电源