本课题遵循风险识别、风险分析与评价、风险应对的风险管理路径对A 市街道绿化养护服务项目招标风险管理展开研究。本文首先从A市街道绿 化养护服务项目具体的招标管理流程入手，通过多种调查研究方法对A市 街道绿化养护服务项目招标风险进行识别和分类，确定了24个涉及招标前 准备阶段、招标阶段、开评标阶段、定标阶段、合同签订阶段的主要风险 因素类别；其次，运用层次分析法构建A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标风 险三级指标体系并计算各层级指标权重，得出子准则层各风险指标对相应 准则层的影响程度；随后，采用模糊综合评价法建立A市街道绿化养护服 务项目招标风险评价矩阵，对风险等级做出评价；最后，结合A市街道绿 化养护服务项目招标管理的实际情况，分别针对不同的风险等级和5个招 标阶段提出了应对A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标管理风险的措施。 本课题的研究对优化A市街道绿化养护服务项目的招标风险管理具有 较好的理论指导意义及实践借鉴作用。 关键词：招标风险管理绿化养护服务层次分析法模糊综合评价法 II RESEARCHONTHEBIDDINGRISKMANAGEMENT OFSTREETVIRESCENCEMAINTENANCE SERCICESPROJECTINTHECITYA ABSTRACT Thissubjectfollowstheriskmanagementpathofriskidentification,risk analysisandevaluation,andriskresponsetolaunchtheresearchonthebidding riskmanagementofstreetvirescencemaintenanceserviceprojectintheCityA. Thisarticlefirstlystartsfromthespecificbiddingmanagementprocessofthe biddingriskmanagementoftheCityA’sstreetvirescencemaintenanceservice project,andidentifiesandclassifiesthebiddingriskoftheCityA’sstreet virescencemaintenanceserviceprojectbymultipleinvestigationmethods,and identifies24majorriskfactorsinvolvedinthepreparationstagebeforebidding, thebiddingstage,thebidopeningandevaluationstage,thebidselectionstage andthecontractsigningstage.Secondly,theanalytichierarchyprocess(AHP)is usedtoconstructthethree-levelindexsystemofthebiddingriskoftheCityA’s streetvirescencemaintenanceserviceprojectandcalculatetheindexweightof eachlevel,soastoobtaintheinfluencedegreeofeachriskindexonthe correspondingstandardlevel.Then,thefuzzycomprehensiveevaluationmethod isusedtoestablishtheriskevaluationmatrixforthebiddingoftheCityA’s streetvirescencemaintenanceserviceprojecttoevaluatetherisklevel.Finally, III accordingtotheactualsituationofthebiddingmanagementoftheCityA’s streetvirescencemaintenanceserviceproject,themeasurestodealwiththe biddingmanagementriskoftheCityA’sstreetvirescencemaintenanceservice projectareproposedrespectivelyaccordingtodifferentrisklevelsandbidding stages. Theresearchofthistopichasgoodtheoreticalguidingsignificanceand practicalreferenceforoptimizingthebiddingriskmanagementoftheCityA’s streetvirescencemaintenanceserviceproject. KEYWORDS：riskmanagementofthebidding；virescencemaintenance service；analytichierarchyprocess；fuzzycomprehensiveevaluation IV 目录 摘要········································································································I ABSTRACT·······························································································II 第一章绪论·······························································································1 1.1研究的背景及意义··············································································1 1.1.1研究背景··················································································1 1.1.2研究的目的及意义······································································1 1.2国内外研究的现状··············································································2 1.2.1国外研究的现状·········································································2 1.2.2国内研究的现状·········································································3 1.3研究内容与方法·················································································4 1.3.1研究内容··················································································4 1.3.2研究方法··················································································5 1.4总体框架及技术路线···········································································6 1.4.1总体框架··················································································6 1.4.2技术路线··················································································6 第二章A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标风险识别·················································8 2.1A市街道绿化养护服务项目概况····························································8 2.1.1A市概况··················································································8 2.1.2A市街道绿化养护服务项目基本情况·············································8 2.2A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标工作内容及流程·····································10 2.2.1A市绿化工程管理中心基本情况··················································10 2.2.2A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标工作内容······································11 2.2.3A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标的主要工作流程····························13 2.3项目招标风险识别············································································15 2.3.1招标风险识别准备····································································16 2.3.2头脑风暴法识别绿化养护服务项目招标风险··································17 2.3.3A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标风险因素清单································18 V 2.3.4对主要风险因素的分析与分类·····················································19 2.4本章小结························································································23 第三章A市街道绿化养护服务项目招标风险评价···············································24 3.1运用层次分析法进行风险数据分析······················································24 3.1.1构建A市街道绿化养护服务项目风险指标体系································24 3.1.2计算准则层风险指标权重及检验一致性·········································26 3.1.3计算子准则层风险指标权重及检验一致性·····································28 3.2运用模糊综合评价法评价风