自2001年加入WTO之后，我国逐步成长为世界第二大经济体，并深度融入全球供应链 体系。在此期间，我国的整个市场经济体制越来越健全，市场竞争 逐渐趋向资源整合化、效 益化的方向发展，我国在全球供应链体系中的位置也随之前移。在此基础上，供应链管理应 运而生、蓬勃发展，并为国内经济系统生产力水平的大幅提 高做出了重要贡献。事实证明， 我国经济的高质量发展与高水平的供应链管理助推密切相关，特别是东部、南部沿海地区， 经济得以快速发展，一个重要的原因就是企业受益于 当地便捷的交通和高效的供应链管理。 近年来，在全球经济增速下滑、周期性金融危机频繁冲击的影响下，贸易保护主义现象 不断抬头，各国之间的贸易摩擦不断增多，使部分 供应链体系遭受重创，部分行业企业运行 也因此近乎瘫痪。从而在现有环境下，对于企业来说，经营中稍有不慎就会遭受供应链的损 失，原有的简单粗放式供应链管理逐步被淘 汰，这无疑对供应链管理提出了更高的要求。 为此，本文以专为央企提供原材料供应链服务的A公司为例，对供应链业务风险及其管 理的相关问题进行较为深入地研究，以期为A 公司及其它企业构建供应链管理体系提供借鉴。 首先，从A公司的日常经营情况入手，对它目前的发展现状进行分析，找出其面临的问题和 原因。其次，识别A公司经营业务中的 风险因素。通过多种研究方法相结合，构建A公司的 风险体系并评估。最后，提出相对应的风险应对措施，帮助A公司降低风险，优化企业整体 经营状况，提高企业核心竞争能力 。 关键词：供应链管理，风险管理，风险识别，管理体系 2 Abstract SinceChinajoinedtheWTOin2001,ithasgraduallysteppedastheworld'ssecondlargest economyandfurtherintegratedintotheglobalsupplychainsystem.Assuch,thewholemarket economicsystemofChinahasbeenfurtherimproved,andthemarketcompetitiongraduallytends tothedirectionofresourceintegrationandbenefitdevelopment,andChina'spositionintheglobal supplychainsystemhasalsomovedforwardaccordingly.Andthen,thesupplychainmanagement arisesatthehistoricmoment,withgreatadvance,whichhasalsomadegreatcontributiontothe productivityimprovementofdomesticeconomicsystem.Asthingsstand,thehighqualityof China'seconomyiscloselyrelatedtothehighlevelofsupply- chainmanagementdrive,especially inthesoutheasterncoastalregion,whererapideconomicgrowthdependsoncompaniesbenefiting fromconvenientlocaltransportationandefficientsupply-chainmanagement. Amidtheimpactoftheglobaleconomicslowdownandthefrequentimpactofperiodic financialcrisesinrecentyears,tradeprotectionismhasemergedoneafteranotherandtrade frictionsamongcountrieshavebeenontherise,whichhasseverelydamagedsomesupplychains andparalyzedtheoperationofsomeindustriesandenterprises.Withrespecttothecurrentsituation, forenterprises,theslightestmistakeintheoperationmaysufferthelossofsupplychain,the originalsimpleextensivesupplychainmanagementisgraduallyeliminated,whichundoubtedly putsforwardhigherrequirementsforsupplychainmanagement. TakingAcompanythatprovidesrawmaterialsupplychainservicesforcentralenterprisesas anexample,thispaperconductsamorein- depthstudyonsupplychainbusinessrisksandrelated issuesofmanagement,inordertoprovidereferenceforAcompanyandotherenterprisestobuild supplychainmanagementsystem.Firstofall,accordingtothedailyoperationsituationofA company,thispaperanalyzesitscurrentdevelopmentstatusandfindsouttheproblemsandcauses itfaces.Secondly,thispaperidentifiestheriskfactorsinthebusinessofAcompany,andintroduces avarietyofresearchmethodstobuildtherisksystemofAcompanyandcarriesouttheassessment. Finally,theauthorputsforwardcorrespondingriskcountermeasurestohelpAcompanyreducerisks, optimizetheoverallbusinessstatusoftheenterprise,andimproveitscorecompetitiveness. Keywords:Supplychainmanagement，riskmanagement，Riskidentification， Managementsystem. 3 目录 摘要...............................................................................................................................1 Abstract..........................................................................................................................2 第一章绪 论...................................................................................................................1 1.1研究背 景................................................................................................................................1 1.2研究目的和意 义....................................................................................................................1 1.3研究内 容................................................................................................................................2 1.4研究方 法................................................................................................................................3 1.5论文创 新................................................................................................................................4 第二章文献综 述...........................................................................................................5 2.1风险管理理论及其相关研 究................................................................................................5 2.1.1风险管理理 论....................................................................................................................................5 2.1.2风险管理相关研究 ............................................................................................................................6 2.2供应链管理理论及其相关研 究.............................................................................................6 2.2.1供应链管理理 论................................................................................................................................7 2.3.2供应链风险管理相关研 究..............................................................................................................10 第三章A公司现状分 析.............................................................................................12 3.1A公司的概 况..........................................................................................................................................12 3.1.1A公司简介 ........................................................................................................................................12 3.1.2A公司组织架构 ...............................................................................................................................12 3.2A公司的供应链业务现 状...................................................................................................................14 3.3基于PEST方法的宏观环境分 析....................................................................................................17 3.4A公司供应链业务存在的问题及其原因分 析.............................................................................19 3.4.1A公司供应链业务存在的问 题.......................................................................................................19 3.4.2A公司供应链业务问题的原因分 析...............................................................................................22 第四章A公司供应链业务风险识别和评 估.................................................................................24 4.1A公司供应链业务风险识 别..............................................................................................................24 4.1.1A公司供应链业务存在的风险分 析...............................................................................................24 4.1.2A公司供应链业务的风险识 别.......................................................................................................26 4.2A公司供应链业务的风险评 估..........................................................................................................31 4.2.1风险评估方 法..................................................................................................................................31 4.2.2基于AHP法的供应链 业务风险评估............................................................................................31 4.3A公司供应链业务风险分 级.............................................................................