随朴我}(Ij经济的快速发展,能源短缺的问越日益尖锐,人类赖以圣1毛存的 环境也日益受到破坏,可持续发展面临严峻的挑,l浅在我国人口众多!资源 有限的情况下,如何能满足能源的需求而不破坏环境是极为关键的,而风力 发l匕正具备这样的条件 山于风力发电在我国属于新兴的产业,iF处于起步阶段,对风力发电可 行七卜研究的理沦和分析比较少,笔者希望木文能够起到抛砖引玉的作川木 文首先简要介绍了风力发电的背景!国内外风电发展的现状以及我国发展风 电的可行性和必要性;接着详细地探讨了风力发电可行性研究的重点内容, 并根据自己的工作经验,把这些内容归纳为工程部分和经济部分进行论述, 并以石碑山特许权示范项日为例,对风力发电可行性研究的理论和方法进行 了运用和验证,为有志于进入风电行业发展的投资者提供了借鉴;最后,笔 者分析了我国风电可行性研究所存在的问题,提出了一些相应的建议,乡卜提 出了/不可行性研究0的新观点,希望对我国风力发电事业尽一份绵薄之力 木文以具体可操作为日的,理论和实践相结合,对风力发电可行性理论 进行了进一步的探讨文中对石碑山风电场可行性研究的核心内容进行了分 析,力图以此为契机,提高我国风力发电可行性研究的水j卜和质星,实现风 力发电事业的良性发展,满足我国环保和可持续发展的要求 关键词:风力发电;可行性研究;可再生能源;环境保护西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第日页 ABSTRACT Witl一rapiddeveloPlne一ItofCI一i一la.eeo一,o:liy,51一ortageofe一lergysoureesl一as beealnei一Icreasi一lglyserious.AstlleIivirlgenvi一一飞menthasbeenbadlyda一naged, sustainabledeveloPrnent15afeingagreatellallenge.IntheeasethatCllinallasa largePoPtllationb:一tlimitnatt一ralresourees,it.5akeyPointhowto一neettlle greatdenla一飞dofenergysoureeswithoutdamagingtheenvironlnent,ofrwlliell windPowerexaetlyqualifies. 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Kevwords:wilidPower;efasibilitystudy:renewableenergy;er一virolzrne一t Proteetion /映西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第川页 目录 第I章绪论................................................................................................1 1 . 1风力发电的社会背景...............................................,...................1 1.2人力发展风电的必要性二!..................................................................3 1.3国内外风电可行性研究内容比较.....................................................6 1 . 4木文的研究内容和}8的.....................................................................7 第2章风力发电可行性研究的主要内容.,...............................................9 2.!风电场发电.吸的理论估算...............................................,............9 2 . 1.1空气密度......................................................................................9 2.1.2风向!风能玫瑰图.....................................................................10 2 . 1.3风能计算.............................,................................................11 2 . 1.4上网电量损耗,.............................................................,.......13 2 . 2风电场的电气部分..........................................................................:13 2 . 2.1接入系统部分............................................................................13 2.2.2)易内电气部分...................,....,..,-二!.,二!.!.................13 2 . 3风电场的工程地质.......................................................................14 2 . 3 . 1地形地貌................................................................................14 2.3.2场址抗震设防烈度..........,...................................................15 2.3.3场址的岩土工程条件.................................................................15 2 . 4施工组织设公卜.!.........................................................................16 2 . 5环境影响评价..,...........,.......................................................17 2 . 6投资估算............................,.......................................................18 2 . 6 . 1风力发电机组..............................................,........................20 2 . 6 . 2风机塔架的高度.........................................................................22 2 . 7则 . 务评价...................,...........................!!二,.,......!...........24 2 . 7 . 1净现值法....................................................................................24 2.7.2内部收益率法............................................................................25 2 . 7 . 3投资回收期法............................................................................26 2 . 8敏感性分 . 沂.,..........................................,...................................27 2.8.1敏感性分析的内容........................!,...!..!.,!,.!二!,27西南交通大学硕士研究生学位报告第VI页 2 . 8 . 2敏感性分析9!,应注意的问题......................................................28 第3章惠来石碑山风电场可行性研究的实证分析................................30 3 . 1惠来石碑山风电场的从木情况.....................................................30 3 . 1 . 1地理位找....................................................................................30 3 . 1 . 2惠来县电力系统概况.................................................................31 3 . 1 . 3_!:程地质....................................................................................31 3 . 2风能电员专题报告.........................................................................32 3 . 2 . 1惠来县气象资料...................................................,............32 3 . 2 . 2风电场风能资源......................................................................36 3 . 2 . 3石碑山风电场上网电最预测...................................................42 3.3项日总费川测算.............................................................................44 3.3.1编制说明.................................................................................44 3 . 3 . 2工程投资主要指标.................................................................45 3.3.3项}8总费用概算和细目表......................................................45 3 . 4则 . 务评价及电价测算......................................................................54 3 . 4.1则-务评价依据............................................................................54 3 . 4 . 2则 . 务测算....................................................................................54 3 . 4.3测算结果..........................!.!.!!.....二!二!.....!.,!!..,59 3 . 4 . 4敏感性分析...............................................................................60 3.5恋来石碑山风电场可行性研究的分析.......................................65 第4章我国风电可行性研究存在的问题及建议....................................68 4 . 1我国风电可行性研究存在的主要问题............................................68 4 . 2对-我国风电可行性研究的建议.......................................................69 结论......................................................................................................71 致谢......................................................................................................73