目前，项目可行性研究在高校实验室建设运用中并不多，没有形成系统的范 式。本文以材料锻压实验厂房这一具体工程项目为案例对可行性研究理论进行应 用。在该项目投资决策前，通过对拟建项目的技术、经济、工程、财务、生产、 环境、法律等方面进行全面的调查研究，而且对项目建成以后可能取得的经济和 社会效益及环境影响进行预测与评价分析，从而提出该项目在投资和建设方面的 咨询意见。 本文简单介绍了建设项目可行性研究的发展历史及材料锻压实验厂房建设项 目的运行环境，提出了该项目建设的必要性和建设意义，对项目的可行性和开发 建设提出初步意见；重点在可行性研究相关理论的基础上，简述了该工程的建设 概况，包括建设规模和实施进度、场址选择和建设条件等，结合环境分析，提出 该项目建设的初步可行性方案；通过对该项目的技术标准、设计方案、环境影响 等方面进行了技术分析，运用建设工程投资管理理论对该项目进行经济和社会效 益评估，采用模糊层次分析法对该工程项目的可行性研究进行了风险分析，最终 得出该材料锻压实验厂房建设项目是必要的、可行的结论，并在工程成本、工程 质量要求及校园环保等方面提出了相关的建议。 本文的主要贡献在于通过对材料锻压实验厂房建设项目进行全面地科学地系 统地分析，得出了该项目在建设方面具有可行性这一结论，为项目前期进行投资 决策提供正确的科学依据，并为后期该项目的实施和进行起到监督和保障作用， 实现投资活动的预期效益目标。这不仅对材料锻压实验厂房建设项目的投资者有 一定的借鉴作用，而且为该领域项目可行性研究提供了参考性范式。 关 键 词：材料锻压实验，建设项目，可行性研究，项目决策，投资风险 报告类型：应用研究III Subject: The Feasibility Study about the Construction Project of Materials Forging Experiment Plant Specialty: Industrial Engineering Name: He Dongyan Supervisor: Zou Shengyong Jia Xianzhao ABSTRACT At present, the project feasibility study on the application of laboratory construction in colleges and universities is not much, do not form the system paradigm. In this paper, the experimental plant material forging works as a particular project case study on the feasibility of application of the theory. Before making a decision of the construction project investment, through the aspects of research and comparative analysis on technology, economy , engineering , financing, production, environment, laws, etc, and the prediction of the probable future economic benefits ,the social and environmental impact when the project is completed, which made the project is worth the investment and construction advice on how to proceed. The paper simply introduced the feasibility study development history of the construction project and the operation environment of the experimental plant material forging, and put forward the necessity of the construction project and the meaning of the construction project as well as put forward a preliminary advice on the feasibility and construction of the project. This paper focused on making a brief overview of the construction of the project based on the related theories of feasibility studies, including the construction scale and the implementation schedule, site selection and construction conditions, combined with the environmental analysis, the preliminary feasibility of the project is proposed. Through the technical analysis on technical standards, design, environment impact of the project, and then an assessment of the economic and social benefits of the project is made through using investment management theory of the construction project, and finally a risk analysis is conducted through using the method of Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP), and ultimately this paper draws a conclusion that the forging experiment plant construction project is feasible, necessary and puts forward relevant proposals on the project cost, engineering quality requirements and campus environmental protection, etc. What makes this paper outstanding is that this paper presents innovative based onIV the experimental plant material forging project to carry out a comprehensive scientific and systematic analysis. The obtained conclusion that the project is feasible in the construction is to provide scientific basis of the right investment decisions, play a role of protecting and monitoring for the post-project’s implementation and achieve investment objectives. This can be helpful not only for the experimental plant material forging project investors and also for the project feasibility study to provide reference model. KEY WORDS: Forging experimental materials, the construction project, the feasibility study, project decisions, investment risk Dissertation Type: Application researchV 目 录 第 1 章 绪论................................................. 1 1.1 课题研究背景及意义..............................................................................................1 1.2 国内外研究现状......................................................................................................1 1.2.1 国外建设项目可行性研究现状.......................................................................1 1.2.2 国内建设项目可行性研究现状.......................................................................2 1.3 课题研究的主要内容及研究方法 ..........................................................................3 1.3.1 课题研究的主要内容及技术路线...................................................................3 1.3.2 课题研究的主要方法.......................................................................................4 第 2 章 运行环境分析......................................... 5 2.1 项目概况..................................................................................................................5 2.1.1 项目简介 ..........................................................................................................5 2.1.2 项目建设单位介绍...........................................................................................5 2.2 项目建设背景及意义..............................................................................................6 2.2.1 项目建设的背景 ..............................................................................................6 2.2.2 项目建设的意义 ..............................................................................................7 2.3 项目建设需求分析..................................................................................................9 2.4 本章小结................................................................................................................10 第 3 章 技术可行性分析...................................... 11 3.1 项目选址及建设条件............................................................................................ 11 3.1.1 项目场址选择 ................................................................................................ 11 3.1.2 项目建设条件 ................................................................................................ 11 3.2 项目建设规模及实施进度....................................................................................12 3.2.1 项目建设规模 ................................................................................................12 3.2.2 项目实施进度 ................................................................................................13 3.3 项目建设方案........................................................................................................14 3.3.1 项目设计依据与规划原则.............................................................................14 3.3.2 总平面设计 ....................................................................................................14 3.3.3 建筑设计 ........................................................................................................15 3.3.4 结构设计 ........................................................................................................15 3.3.5 给排水设计 ....................................................................................................17VI 3.3.6 电气设计 ........................................................................................................17 3.3.7 防火设计 ........................................................................................................20 3.3.8 采暖通风设计 ................................................................................................21 3.3.9 节能设计 ........................................................................................................22 3.4 项目建设环境影响评价........................................................................................22 3.4.1 主要污染环节及排污环节.............................................................................22 3.4.2 生态环境保护措施.........................................................................................24 3.5 本章小结................................................................................................................26 第 4 章 经济可行性分析...................................... 27 4.1 项目投资估算及资金筹措....................................................................................27 4.1.1 项目投资估算范围及依据.............................................................................27 4.1.2 项目总投资估算 ............................................................................................27 4.1.3 资金计划安排与资金筹措与保障.................................................................30 4.2 项目经济可行性....................................................................................................31 4.2.1 经济可行性分析的基本依据和基本数据.....................................................31 4.2.2 收入分析 ........................................................................................................32 4.2.3 成本分析 ........................................................................................................32 4.2.4 收益分析 ........................................................................................................32 4.2.5 经济评价 ........................................................................................................34 4.3 社会评价................................................................................................................36 4.3.1 社会效益分析 ................................................................................................36 4.3.2 互适性分析 ....................................................................................................36 4.4 本章小结................................................................................................................37 第 5 章 风险分析............................................ 39 5.1 项目主要风险识别................................................................................................39 5.2 风险程度评价........................................................................................................39 5.3 防范和降低风险措施............................................................................................43 5.4 本章小结................................................................................................................43 第 6 章 结论与建议.......................................... 45 6.1 结论........................................................................................................................45 6.2 建议........................................................................................................................45