项目可行性研究,是根据市场需求和国民经济长期发展规划!地区 发展规划和行业发展规划的要求,对于拟建项目有关的市场!社会!经 济!技术等各方面情况进行全面系统的调查研究,对各种可能拟定的技 术方案和建设方案进行认真的技术经济分析和比较论证,对项目建成后 的经济效益和社会效益进行科学的预测和评价在此基础上,对拟建项 目的技术可行性和适用性!经济合理性和有效性,以及建设的必要性和 迫切性,进行全面分析,系统论证和综合评价,由此确定该项目是否应 该投资和如何投资等结论性意见,为项目投资决策提供可靠的科学依据 和为开展下一步工作打下基础 本文以国道213(317)线映秀至汉川段灾后恢复重建工程为依据,介 绍公路项目管理和可行性研究的相关理论,并针对灾后重建公路改造工 程可行性研究中一些问题的基本理论方法进行了探讨研究表明,针对灾 后重建公路的改建工程,本方法在技术上可行!经济上合理,可在其他同 类项目中推广应用 关键词:重建工程;可行性研究;交通量预测;方案选择;经济评价 吓西南交通大学工程硕士研究生学位报告第n页 Abstr8Ct TheProjeetfeasibilitystudy15asubjeetthatsurveyseonditionsrelatedto thePlannedProjeetsuehasmarket,soeiety,eeonomy,teehnologyete, comParativelydemonstratesanddiseussestherationalityofseveraldrafted teehnologysehemesandeonstruetionsehemes,atthesametimeseientifieally foreeastsandevaluatesthesocialbenefitsandeeonomybenefitsaftertheProjeet eomPletiononthebasisofmarketdemandsandrequirementsoflong一term develoPmentlayoutofnationaleeonomy,regionaldeveloPmentlayoutand industrydeveloPmentlayout.Onthebasis,rounddiseussion,systematical demonstrationandcomPrehensiveevaluation,whieharegivenonthe advaneementofteehnology,rationalityandvalidityofeeonomy,feasibilityand PossibilityofeonstruetiondeeideswhethertheProjectshouldbecarriedoutand howtoinvest,affordingeredibleseientifiebasisdeeision一makingforProjeet investmentandmakefoundationforthenextwork. ThisPaper15basedofaseetreconstruetedProjeetafterthew七nchuan earthquake,YingxiutoWenchuan,inthehighw盯ofGZ13(317).The correlativetheoretieofthehighwayProjeetmanagemeniandfeasibilitystudy areanalyzedinthePaper.AndsomebasistheoryProblemsinthefeasibility studyofrebuildingandalterationhighwayaftertheearthquakearediscussed.In termofthestudy,theeonelusionsofthePaperarefeasiblefortechnologyand reasonableforeeonomyofrebuildingandalterationhighwayafterthe earthquake.AndtheeonelusionseanbegeneralizedinthekindredProject. KEYwoRDs:ReconstruetedPorjeet:Feasibilitystudy;Traffieforeeasting: Eeonomieevaluation;Schemealternative 子西南交通大学工程硕士研究生学位报告第In页 目录 第一章绪论................................................................................................1 1.1选题的背景与意义..............................................................................1 1.2国内外可行性研究发展概况综述......................................................2 1.2.1国外可行性研究发展概况............................................................2 1.2.2国内可行性研究发展概况............................................................4 1.3公路工程可行性研究的特点..............................................................6 1.4交通分析的重要性..............................................................................7 1.5研究内容.......................................................................................,..,8 第二章社会经济与交通运输现状及发展..................................................9 2.1四川省地震灾情..................................................................................9 2.2项目影响区地震灾后重建规划........................................................n 2.2.1国务院关于灾后恢复重建指导意见..........................................12 2.2.2四川省灾后重建总体规划导意见..............................................巧 2.2.3社会经济主要指标发展预测......................................................17 2.2.4地震灾后综合运输恢复重建规划..............................................19 2.3本项目在综合运输网中的地位和作用.............................................21 2.4本章小结...........................................................................................22 第三章交通分析与预测.......................,.............................................23 3.1概述...................................................................................................23 3.2交通量预测的思路与方法................................................................23 3.3特征年路网.......................................................................................25 3.4交通生成预测...................................................................................27 3.5交通分布预测...................................................................................32 3.6交通量预测结果分析........................................................................35 3.7车型预测...........................................................................................39 3.8本章小结...........................................................................................39 第四章技术标准与建设规模...................................................................40 4.1公路等级...........................................................................................40 4.2设计速度和路基宽度........................................................................40 夕西南交通大学工程硕士研究生学位报告第IV页 4.3技术标准...........................................................................................40 4.4建设规模...........................................................................................41 4.5本章小结...........................................................................................42 第五章建设条件与方案选择...................................................................43 5.1建设条件...........................................................................................43 5.1.1自然地理状况.............................................................................43 5.1.2气象!水文.................................................................................43 5.1.3地质构造和地震.........................................................................43 5.1.4地层岩性.....................................................................................44 5.1.5水文地质.....................................................................................44 5.1.6不良地质现象及评价..................................................................44 5.1.7沿线筑路材料.............................................................................45 5.1.8拟建项目与交通!水电的衔接..................................................45 5.2备选方案拟定.............................................................................气..,46 5.2.1地震灾后恢复重建原则..............................................................46 5.2.2建设项目起讫点与目前道路的衔接..........................................46 5.2.3方案比选..............,................................................................47 5.3本章小结...........................................................................................53 第六章投资估算与资金筹措...................................................................54 6.1概述...................................................................................................54 6.1.1编制依据.....................................................................................54 6.1.2有关费用的计列.........................................................................54 6.2投资估算...........................................................................................55 6.3资金筹措...........................................................................................56 6.4本章小结...........................................................................................56 第七章实施方案.......................................................................................57 7.1施工条件和特点................................................................................57 7.2公路保通方案与措施........................................................................58 7.2.1公路保通方案.............................................................................58 7.2.2公路保通措施.............................................................................60 7.3建设工期与实施计划........................................................................62 7.3.1分期实施计划.............................................................................62 了西南交通大学工程硕士研究生学位报告第V页 7.3.2拆迁.............................................................................................62 7.3.3工程管理和技术人员的培训......................................................62 7.4工程管理...........................................................................................62 7.4.1项目法人责任制.............................................,.....................63 7.4.2招投标制.....................................................................................63 7.4.3工程监理制.................................................................................64 7.4.4合同管理制.................................................................................64 7.5工程项目招标方案............................................................................65 7.6本章小结...........................................................................................65 第八章经济评价.......................................................................................66 8.1概述.................................................................................................../ 8.1.1经济评价的依据........................................................................./ 8.1.2经济评价的内容和方案..............................................................66 8.1.3评价期........................................................................................./ 8.2经济费用效益分析............................................................................66 8.2.1评价参数...................................................................................../ 8.2.2经济费用计算.............................................................................67 8.2.3经济效益计算.............................................................................69 8.2.4经济费用效益结果.....................................................................75 8.3国民经济评价结论............................................................................76 8.4本章小结...........................................................................................76 结论与展望............................................................................................77 结论.........................................................................................................77 展望.........................................................................................................79 致谢........................................................................................................81