ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
AND LIFE IN 2030
ONE HUNDRED YEAR STUDY ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE | REPORT OF THE 2015 STUDY PANEL | SEPTEMBER 2016
PREFACE
The One Hundred Year Study on
Artifcial Intelligence, launched
in the fall of 2014, is a long-
term investigation of the feld of
Artifcial Intelligence (AI) and
its infuences on people, their
communities, and society. It
considers the science, engineering,
and deployment of AI-enabled
computing systems. As its core
activity, the Standing Committee
that oversees the One Hundred
Year Study forms a Study Panel
every fve years to assess the
current state of AI. The Study
Panel reviews AIˉs progress in the years following the immediately prior report,
envisions the potential advances that lie ahead, and describes the technical and
societal challenges and opportunities these advances raise, including in such arenas as
ethics, economics, and the design of systems compatible with human cognition. The
overarching purpose of the One Hundred Year Studyˉs periodic expert review is to
provide a collected and connected set of refections about AI and its infuences as the
feld advances. The studies are expected to develop syntheses and assessments that
provide expert-informed guidance for directions in
AI research, development, and systems design, as well as programs and policies to
help ensure that these systems broadly beneft individuals and society.1
The One Hundred Year Study is modeled on an earlier efort informally known as
the °AAAI Asilomar Study.± During 2008-2009, the then president of the Association
for the Advancement of Artifcial Intelligence (AAAI), Eric Horvitz, assembled a
group of AI experts from multiple institutions and areas of the feld, along with
scholars of cognitive science, philosophy, and law. Working in distributed subgroups,
the participants addressed near-term AI developments, long-term possibilities,
and legal and ethical concerns, and then came together in a three-day meeting at
Asilomar to share and discuss their fndings. A short written report on the intensive
meeting discussions, amplifed by the participantsˉ subsequent discussions with other
colleagues, generated widespread interest and debate in the feld and beyond.
The impact of the Asilomar meeting, and important advances in AI that included
AI algorithms and technologies starting to enter daily life around the globe, spurred
the idea of a long-term recurring study of AI and its infuence on people and society.
The One Hundred Year Study was subsequently endowed at a university to enable
1 °One Hundred Year Study on Artifcial Intelligence (AI100),± Stanford University, accessed
August 1, 2016, https://ai100.stanford.
The overarching purpose
of the One Hundred Year
Studyˉs periodic expert
review is to provide a
collected and connected
set of refections about
AI and its infuences as
the feld advances.extended
。。。以上简介无排版格式，详细内容请下载查看