Trend 1:
Demographic dynamics
August 2016
Roland Berger
Trend
Compendium
2030
2 Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 - Trend 1 Demographic dynamics.pptx
About the Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030
What is it
The Roland Berger Trend
Compendium 2030 is a global trend
study compiled by Roland Berger
Institute (RBI), the think tank of
Roland Berger
It describes the most important
megatrends that will shape the world
between now and 2030
All trends have a broad impact on
how we do business, so
Roland Berger experts have identified
actions companies must take today
Our approach
We first screened all relevant
trend, scenario and future studies
worldwide
Then we verified, analyzed and
consolidated the results, using
them to define the megatrends
Next, we broke down the
megatrends into subtrends, looking
at each from a global perspective
and the viewpoints of industrialized
and developing countries
Finally, we identified corporate
actions that companies worldwide
should consider taking today
Use it!
For your own presentations, for dis-
cussions with clients and business
partners or as springboards for
acquisition approaches
Following the description of the
subtrends and the recommended
corporate actions, you will find the
most important sources to help you
keep track of the changes in the
world, as well as dig deeper into
the trends presented
3 Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 - Trend 1 Demographic dynamics.pptx
The Roland Berger Trend Compendium covers megatrends – long-term developments with major impact (usually
global) on companies, economies and the natural world
The forecasts are based on estimates reflecting the normal case, i.e. a stable development of the global economy
with no unexpected events (black swans). Major political or financial crises, large-scale natural disasters or similar
far-reaching events are not integral to our assumptions
To incorporate today's volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) environment into strategic planning we
recommend to combine the megatrends of the Roland Berger Trend Compendium with the Roland Berger scenario
planning approach
The Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 focuses on stable
long term developments
Methodology
4 Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 - Trend 1 Demographic dynamics.pptx
It covers seven megatrends that shape the future development
of our world
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Demographic
dynamics
Globalization
& future
markets
Scarcity
of
resources
Climate
change &
ecosystem
at risk
Dynamic
technology
& innovation
Global
knowledge
society
Sustainability
& global
responsibility
Megatrends
5 Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 - Trend 1 Demographic dynamics.pptx
Demographic dynamics are a worldwide game changer for
countries' societies and economies – There are 4 key subtrends
T1 Demographic dynamics: Subtrends
Subtrends of megatrend Demographic dynamics
Growth – Global population on the rise
Young vs. old countries – A world full of contrasts
Migration – A world on the move
Urbanization – Megacities vs. wasteland
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